Staunton,
January 9 – Moscow is seeking to reduce alcohol consumption by raising prices
on vodka and other strong spirits, but many Russians are responding as they have
in the past to such measures by consuming moonshine. That is reducing tax
revenue and the profits of vodka producers and prompting discussions about the
possible re-imposition of a ban on home brew.
In an
article published online today warning that in the next twelve months, “15
million Russians will stop drinking vodka and down moonshine instead,”
“Versiya” investigative journalist Vadim Saranov says that is sparking concerns
about public health, government revenues, and vodka producer profits (versia.ru/articles/2012/jan/09/apparatnye_igry).
Moonshine
(”samogon”) has long been a feature of Russian life, but “the last peak of
samogon production in Russia occurred at the end of the 1980s and the beginning
of the 1990s” following Mikhail Gorbachev’s anti-alcohol campaign. Under Soviet
law, not only the production of samogon but its sale was illegal and subject to
fines.
After
1991, Russia dropped the prohibition on the production of samogon, but the
amount actually produced declined given the increasing availability of various
forms of relatively inexpensive alcohol in the stores. But now with the new taxes, the balance
between licensed production and moonshine appears set to change, Saranov says.
Vadim
Drobiz, director of the Center for Research on Federal and Regional Alcohol
Markets, says that according to his calculatins, “the annual consumption of
samogon [already] amounts to 20 to 25 million decaliters” and that after the
taxes go into effect, the amount will rise from “the current 25 to 150 million
decaliters” a year.
The
researcher adds that “these will be not marginal strata of the population” as
has often been the case with moonshine consumption in the past “but rather
among well-off citizens. It is likely
that there will even appear clubs of samogon lovers, the demand for alcohol
mini-factories grow, and so on.” Indeed, he adds, there may be “a real
flowering of moonshine culture.”
But
there will also be an increase in consumption among poorer strata of the
Russian population, Saranov observes, because with the new taxes will mean that
“samogon will be cheaper than vodka by almost five times.” Thus, “millions [of less well-off Russians]
will shift from quality factory vodka” to samogon.
There
are many reasons for concern. In an article in the
September issue of the Academy’s “Narkologiya,” Saranov says, researchers
assessed “the potential toxicity of illegal alcoholic drinks in the Moscow
oblast. They found that the poisons
found in samogon there were roughly comparative to the level of such poisonous
substances in licensed alcohol.
The journalist says he asked
Yevgeniya Koshkina, head of the narcology research center to comment on this
unexpected finding. She refused, saying
that “the information [in the article] was for a narrow circle of specialists”
and threatening that she would bring charges of “genocide of the Russian people
if the article about the value of samogon were to appear in the press.”
As Saranov says, Koshkina’s reaction
“of course” is understandable because of the risk that increased production of
lower-priced samogon could drive up consumption because “according to
statistics, alcohol mortality is more connected the amount drunk than with its
quality.”
But there is another factor that may
play a role in Moscow’s reaction to a rising tide of samogon consumption: the
influence of the owners of the vodka manufacturers. Because of their voice,
Saranov suggests, “it is not excluded that the demonization of samagon … will
soon be transformed into a task of state importance.”
At the present time, the production
of samogon is not prohibited by law, although its sale still is if it is deemed
to fall under the legal provisions against “illegal entrepreneurship.” But the line between production for personal
use and production for sale is not easy to maintain, and recently there have
been called to ban samogon production as such.
In May of last year, deputies in
Kaliningrad proposed doing so in a draft law they submitted to the Duma. The
federal parliament did not respond, but pressure on it to do so from licensed
producers of alcoholic beverages who see samogon as competition and from a
government concerned about falling tax revenues is likely to grow.
Whether the
Russian government would take this step in a political year when such action might
produce a backlash and whether Moscow could enforce any such measure if it did –
given that the Soviet state was never able to stamp out samogon production –
however, remain very much open questions.
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