Paul
Goble
Staunton, October 9 – The agreement
signed last week by the Russian and Tajikistan presidents that allows Russia to
retain its base in that Central Asian country until 2042 and to have soldiers
stationed there enjoy diplomatic immunity has attracted a great deal of
reportage in Eurasia and the West.
Not surprisingly, in Russia in
particular, the agreement’s provisions easing immigration on Tajik
gastarbeiters have attracted attention, especially those that give such
immigrants the right to stay three years rather than one or less and to visit
Russia for up to 15 days without registering (expert.ru/2012/10/8/soldatyi-v-obmen-na-gastarbajterov/?n=66992).
But much less coverage has gone to a
related phenomenon: As ethnic Tajiks leave their homeland to work in Russian
cities, workers from China are arriving in Tajikistan to work under extremely
favorable conditions and despite the high levels of unemployment that have
driven Tajiks out.
In an article posted on the Centrasia.ru
portal, Saydullo Gadoyev suggests that “residents of the Heavenly Kingdom are
literally flooding Tajikistan,” where Chinese investors are building plants to
supply not the Tajikistan market but rather the one in their own homeland
instead (http://www.centrasia.ru/news.php?st=1348815360
Dushanbe, Gadoyev continues, has
made numerous concessions to the Chinese in return for credits of “almost a
billion US dollars.” In addition, China
has invested 250 million US dollars in the construction and refurbishing of
Tajikistan’s underdeveloped road network and other facilities.
Just how many Han Chinese are now in
Tajikistan is now known, Gadoyev says. The government has registered only 3917,
but the local media routinely refers to some 80,000 guest workers from China
and notes that for bribes of 500 to 1000 US dollars Chinese and other workers
can obtain “a false passport of the Republic of Tajikistan.”
The presence of the Chinese is
creating problems, the journalist says. On the one hand, they often appear to
be taking jobs that unemployed Tajiks would like to have. And on the other, they are often paid “15 to
20 times” more than Tajiks doing the same work, a situation which led to a
strike last year at a Tajik-Chinese gold processing plant.
In order to maintain its ties with
Beijing, Dushanbe has even shifted portions of its out population out of place
in the Murgab district of the Gorno-Badakhshan Autonomous Oblast in order to
make ways for Chinese firms and Chinese workers – and it has done so, Gadoyev
says, without providing any financial support to the displaced Tajik workers.
These arrangements already have the
potential to create social, political and even demographic problems, Gadoyev
continues. “The Chinese,” he says, “occupy
not only working places of those Tajiks who have gone to Russia, they are gradually
replacing the local men” in other ways as well, including marrying or at least cohabiting
with Tajik women.
One Dushanbe expert, Feruz Saidov of
the Center for Strategic Research, told Gadoyev, however, that “the flow of
Chinese migrants” into Tajikistan should not become a matter concern unless
purely Chinese enclaves appear. That can be prevented, Saidov said, by “settling
the Chinese among the local residents.
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