Paul
Goble
Staunton, May 3 – Forty-four
bloggers in Ingushetia have expressed their views on the Chechen incursion into
their national territory and other regions events in that North Caucasus
republic, an intriguing measure of the views of a group that not only reflects
public opinion but is increasingly helping to shape opinion there.
Two weeks ago, one of their number
asked the bloggers of Ingushetia to weigh in on a questions that he and clearly
they feel are important (niysa.livejournal.com/64959.html). Forty-four of
them responded. Their answers and their LiveJournal URLs have now been posted
at
According to this compilation, 89
percent of the bloggers “extremely negatively” and nine percent “negatively”
condemned the incursion of 300 Chechen siloviki into Ingush territory, equal to
the 84 percent who “extremely negatively” and 14 percent “negatively” assessed
Chechen claims against their republic.
With regard to the actions of their
own republic leaders, 42 percent of the bloggers had a negative reaction to
that. Twenty-eight percent were positive, and 28 percent refrained from
expressing an opinion.
Concerning the recent Ingush
congress, 71 percent of the bloggers said that it was not representative of the
population with 55 percent saying that they did not recognize it as a
legitimate meeting. Some 68 percent said it did not reflect the interests of
the people of Ingushetia. Thirty percent were unwilling to give an opinion, and
only two percent were positive.
Sixty
percent of the bloggers did agree with the decision of the congress to keep the
borders of Ingushetia where they are now, but “almost 90 percent” of them
rejected doing away with direct elections of the republic head. Ninety-three
percent favored such elections, and 88 percent rejected the idea that the
Ingush are not capable of holding them now.
Were
direct elections to be held, 37 percent said they would vote for former
republic leader R.S. Aushev, 14 percent for current headYevkurov, with the remainder
scattered among other possibilities. Seventy-five percent said they disliked Yevkurov
because he does what the Kremlin wants rather than what the Ingush people do.
Forty-four percent of the bloggers said that
Yevkurov was unlikely to remain in office until the end of his term, but
another 40 percent said they hoped he would. Seventy-five percent added that
they agreed with the notion that Ingushetia is “tired” of being run by siloviki
and needed “high class managers” instead.
In presenting these results, the organizer of the
blogger poll suggested that the clear position of the bloggers on many issues
shows just how out of touch the leaders of the republic are regarding key
issues and that they need to pay more attention to these and other such surveys
in designing their policies.
For
outside observers, that is an important reflection. But even if the leaders
ignore these polls, those who want to understand the region must not. Ever more North Caucasus republics have an
active blogosphere – some of the governments have even sought to promote it –
and the Ingushetia blogger poll is a harbinger of an important new source of
information.
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