Paul
Goble
Staunton, June 15 – Radical
Ukrainian nationalists, some of whom fought against Moscow in Chechnya and
others who have been involved in demonstrations in Stavropol kray, say that
they are setting up special camps in their country to train Russian activists
from regions whose populations, the Ukrainian organizers say, will “soon
separate themselves from Russia.”
The plan, promoted by Dmitry
Korchinsky, who earlier led the UNA-UNSO organization, was presented on his extremist
Bratstvo Party website earlier this month (naso.org.ua/mir/746-trenirovochnye-lagerya-russkoy-avtonomii.html) and has now
attracted the attention of a Moscow portal (svpressa.ru/society/article/69295/).
And that “Svobodnya pressa” article
features comments by Rais Suleymanov, a Kazan-based specialist, who argues that
this Ukrainian move is part of a far broader effort by Russia’s neighbors to
promote the disintegration of the Russian state, something that he suggests is a
real possibility unless Moscow moves quickly to counter it.
The Ukrainian camps for Russians
interested in separating from Moscow will run from July 15 to August 31,
feature courses on organizing civic resistance, battling law enforcement and
the FSB, agitation and propaganda, as well as seminars on “the theoretical
foundations of Russian autonomy and the theology of the Russian Autonomous
Church.”
Vitaly Slovetsky of “Svobodnaya
pressa” spoke with two young Russians who plan to go. Denis, 20 from Voronezh,
said he intends to enroll because “the Kremlin is spitting on the entire
Russian people … all of my friends don’t like Moscow.” They consider the
capital and the people who live there “an enemy state.
And Maksim, 19 from Novorossiisk,
said he was going because the rulers in Moscow keep passing laws that enrich
themselves even as the impoverish all Russians living elsewhere. People are fed
up with Moscow, he said, “why do we need such authorities? Why do we need
Moscow?”
To put these reactions and the
Ukrainian effort in context, Slovetsky spoke with Suleymanov, who heads the
Volga Center for Regional and Ethno-Religious Research of the Russian Institute
for Strategic Research and who has attracted attention for his articles
suggesting that Islamist extremism is spreading across the Russian Federation.
Concerning the Ukrainian effort,
Suleymanov said that Ukrainian nationalists consider many adjoining parts of
the Russian Federation to be “parts of Greater Ukraine which must be restored.”
Consequently, they are focusing their efforts on people from those places and
seeking to “reorient young people there and change their ethnic identification.”
But the Ukrainian effort, as
dramatic as it appears, is only part of a larger phenomenon, the Kazan
specialist says. “At the present time, preparations are being made for the
process of the reconstitution of Russia.” Earlier, most experts had thought
this would involve only the North Caucasus, but now, he said, it is clear that
it involves a far greater part of the country.
This “project,” Suleymanov
continued, looks for the achievement of separatist agendas over the next “10 to
15 years.” And despite its comic opera
qualities, the specialist on ethnicity and religion says, “in reality, [it] has
serious chances for realization” because it enjoys foreign support and is not
now being effectively countered by the Russian government.
The Republic of Georgia began
seeking to reorient North Caucasians already in 2003 and identified as its main
goal the restoration of “’Greater Circassia.’”
Tbilisi organized training sessions for Circassians, recognized the 1864
events as a genocide, and until recently said it did not want to take part in
the Olympics at Sochi, the site of those 150-year-ago events.
According to Suleymanov, “an analogous
project is being realized by Europe and the United States with respect to the
residents of Karelia and portions of the ethnic Russian population of Leningrad
oblast.” These foreign sponsors are
trying to promote what some call “Ingermanland separatism.”
At the same time, he adds, “Norway
is supporting Pomor Separatism.” Separatist regionalism is also growing in
Siberia and among portions of the population of Arkhangelsk oblast in the
Russian North. As for Ukraine, it hopes
to promote separatism among the young in Kuban, Stavropol, the Don and the
Chernozem region.
Ukraine is able to do this because
of its rapprochement with the West. If it joins the European Union and NATO,
residents of the Southern Federal District are likely to see certain advantages
in uniting with that country and begin to talk about “withdrawal from the
Russian Federation.” If that happens, “Russia would lose its access to the Black
Sea.”
Already, Suleymanov agrees, “separatist
attitudes in the Kuban and Don are quite strong,” expressed “in the striving of
the Cossacks to declare themselves a separate ethnos.” That was clear during
the most recent census when “an enormous quantity of residents called themselves
not [ethnic] Russians but Cossacks.”
“Young people,” the specialist
continues, “are still pro-Russia but they have become anti-Moscow,” a trend
that should surprise no one familiar with the “traditional” hostility of the
provinces to the capital. Unfortunately,
he adds, such feelings can be exploited by outsiders especially if the central
authorities do not recognize the danger.
These outsiders, as the Ukrainians
and others are doing, can present themselves as sympathetic. “We need you, we
are concerned about you,” they say. But
the Russian authorities “are not working with the ethnic Russian population of
Ukraine, in particular with that part which lives in Crimea … As a result, Russia
could fall apart.”
No comments:
Post a Comment