Paul
Goble
Staunton, February 6 – Since the
collapse of the Soviet Union, the peoples in that region have faced many
challenges, globalization in particular, but while much attention has been
devoted to that phenomenon’s “western” face, much less has been given to its “eastern”
variant, a variant that in the North Caucasus is playing an increasingly
predominant important role.
In the North Caucasus, Aslan Beshto,
a Circassian who heads a research center in Kabardino-Balkaria, indeed suggests
this is the form the clash of civilizations has assumed there (kbrstrategy.ru/%D0%B0%D0%BD%D0%B0%D0%BB%D0%B8%D1%82%D0%B8%D0%BA%D0%B0/dva-vektora-globalizacii-na-severnom-kavkaze.html).
Eastern or
Arabic globalization, he writes, “in the first instance is the expansion of
Arabic culture and the Arabic way of life” into areas where it had not been
dominant before, the result of both the ideological vacuum that emerged with the
collapse of the Soviet system and the anger of many in traditional societies about
the nature and impact of western globalization.
Following
the collapse of the Soviet system, the various peoples in the region sought to restore
their national self-consciousness, something that some officials exploited but
many opposed because they saw it as a challenge to stability and their
power. As a result, supporters of
Salafi Islam gained an opening, even among those who did not accept all their
precepts.
In the North Caucasus, Beshto says, that led to
conflicts between the societies and the force structures and drove many of the former
to take up arms against the latter. More important, it meant that “under their
influence and in part because of fear, supporters of traditional Islam began to
surrender their positions” and accept “the more aggressive platform” of the
Salafis.
That trend was actively promoted by the
Saudis who over the last generation have spent from 1.2 to 1.6 trillion US
dollars in promoting the form of Islam, Wahhabism, that exists in Saudi Arabia,
an increasing share of it going to the Caucasus and Central Asia and involving
both the training of mullahs and the building of mosques.
But the Saudis would not have been as
successful as they have been, Beshto suggests, had the societies of the North
Caucasus not in many cases viewed the untrammeled impact of western
globalization as unacceptable and thus been willing to look elsewhere, to
choose, to use his lapidary expression, “hijabs as an alternative to
mini-skirts.”
(The Saudi-Salafi effort was aided as
well by something few have called attention to: economics. Given the recession in the North Caucasus,
the Circassian analyst says, a young woman would have to spend a great deal to
have a diverse western wardrobe but could dress for all occasions with a single
hijab if she chose to follow the Salafis.)
But the expansion of Salafi Islam,
initiated by those who wanted to protect their national cultures, soon
overwhelmed the latter in many places, leading its adepts to declare that they
were not members of a particular ethno-national community but rather simply
Muslims, a shift that undercut national claims.
While there have been important
variations among the Muslims of the North Caucasus and elsewhere as this shift
has occurred, what many call “traditional Islam” has not been able to block
it. That form of Islam “is like Orthodox
Christianity in which the cast of religious servants play an enormous role,” something
inherently alien to Islam as the Salafis have pointed out.
But if the Salafis reject such a role
for mullahs, they at the same time have insisted on creating structures such as
schools and even quasi-police forces in which their leaders play an enormous
role. For example, Beshto notes, the Salafi-controlled muftiate in Stavropol
kray is now pushing for the creation of schools attached to mosques in which
girls could wear the hijab.
Obviously, the radicalism of the Salafis
attracts many young people, Bashto continues, and one factor which helps to
explain their success is their efforts to impose “harsh control over the libido
and sexual relations” of the young. If western globalization promotes greater
sexual freedom, the Salafis do just the reverse, something that also wins them
support in the population.
To address these problems, the analyst
says, the Salafis call for “’a sexual jihad’” which involves early marriages “exclusively
on the basis of ideological agreement” rather than familiarity and choice and
gives Salafi leaders the dominant role in deciding who marries whom and when.
Some analysts have suggested that the
very harshness of the Salafis will provoke “an Arab spring in the Caucasus,”
and “if one considers this threat through the prism of Arab globalization, then
this threat seems real.” But just as the
Arab Spring has not spread through the entire Arab world, it won’t spread
through the entire North Caucasus, something “the Russian establishment” doesn’t
understand.
There are of course many similarities
among those societies in which Salafism and eastern globalization have become
rooted, but “the distinctions are all the same greater,” Bashto argues. Chechnya, for example, because of its ethnic
homogeneity and taip system is unlikely to experience a spring in the next 50
years.
But in the western Caucasus, where “Islam
traditionally has not had particular strength,” the chances that there will be
a reaction to the Salafis and that there will be an opening for democracy are
far more real. Those who seek to govern the region need to take such
differences into account as the region goes through its own specific form of
the clash of civilizations.
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