Paul Goble
Staunton,
February 2 – By increasing the penalties for participation in protests, the
Russian government has been able to reduce the number of people taking part,
even though these penalties “sabotage” a decision of the Russian Constitutional
Court and the courts often have dismissed charges, according to a detailed
analysis of sentencing practice in 2012-2013.
In
an article in “Novaya gazeta” on Friday, Pavel Chikhov and Aleksey Glukhov of
Agora, the Kazan-based Inter-Regional Association of Human Rights Organizations,
say that they see little chance that the authorities will change this pattern
anytime soon and thus suggest Russians may avoid protests given the risks (novayagazeta.ru/politics/62049.html).
Since
the adoption of the 2004 law on meetings, Chikhov and Glukov say, the country
has passed through three periods: the first between 2004 and mid-2011 when
protest activity was low even though penalties for protest were also low, the
second from mid-2011 to mid-2012 when protests increased, and the third after
that when protest activity was again reduced because of the establishment of
greater penalties.
Until
mid-2011, the circle of protesters was small, even though penalties were
minimal, but “the situation changed sharply in the second half of 2011,” when
as a result of parliamentary and presidential elections, the number of
demonstrators increased and participation broadened.
In
response, President Vladimir Putin pushed through a law increasing fines and
other punishments, and the number of those taking part in protests fell
dramatically both because the country had passed out of the election season and
because of the increased risks for anyone charged with violating the new laws.
The
AGORA researchers examined the situation during the 12 months before the law
was adopted and the 12 months afterwards because more recent data is not yet
available. They found that the 2000 percent increase in fines between these two
periods drove down the number of people taking part in public demonstrations.
In the first period, 4500 people were
sentenced under the new legislation, but in the second fewer than 1500. Preliminary data for the subsequent periods
show that the numbers of people have continued to fall, with 921 charged in the
second half of 2012 and 515 charged iin the first half of 2013.
The authorities initiated more
than twice as many cases, but according to AGORA, the courts tossed out some of
them or demanded better evidence as the law was toughened and penalties
increased. But at the same time, the courts generally imposed the harsher
sentences required by the new law on those who were convicted – even though the
Constitutional Court has allowed them to impose lesser ones.
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