Paul
Goble
Staunton, February 10 – In addition
to exploiting the Sochi Olympics to underscore that “Russia is back,” Vladimir
Putin is using the games as part of his ongoing effort to achieve a narrower
and more immediate goal: the legitimation of his approach in the North Caucasus
and thus of his presidency, according to a distinguished French journalist.
But as Régis Genté argues in an interview about his book, “Poutine et le
Caucase” (Paris: Buchet Chastel), the Russian leader faces an uphill battle. Despite the generally upbeat media treatment
he has received in the West in recent weeks, Putin has not been as successful
in that region as he seeks to claim (russian.rfi.fr/kavkaz/20140207-rezhis-zhante-olimpiada-v-sochi-eto-popytka-sdelat-rossiiskuyu-politiku-na-kavkaze-l).
Instead,
it remains a problem. but the region is central to Putin’s career. He has
repeatedly said, the French journalist points out, that his “historic mission
is to put an end” to the disintegration of the former Soviet space. And the
Kremlin leader believes and seeks to convince others that he has done so in the
Caucasus.
From the beginning, Putin’s rise was
“connected with the Caucasus, Genté says. Many in fact believe his rise to
power was directly connected with the terrorist actions of 1991, actions that
some evidence suggests the FSB was involved with, particularly in the case of the
bombs that didn’t go off in Ryazan, as well as his subsequent launch of another
Chechen war.
The
Kremlin leader’s moves against Georgia in August 2008 simply reflected an
extension of that policy beyond the borders of the Russian Federation, actions
that Genté insists, were never “about relations between Putin and Saakashvili
but rather about relations between [his] Russia and the West.”
Sochi
again is a manifestation of both this policy and Putin’s pursuit of that
policy’s legitimacy, Genté says. “By trying to attract to Sochi the political
leaders of the entire world, Vladimir Putin has been attempting to make his
policy in the Caucasus legitimate” – and thus to make himself legitimate in
their eyes and in those of the Russian people as well.
Putin’s
push for the Olympics in Sochi in 2014 was no accident either as to place or
time. Sochi is where Russian forces
completed the occupation of the western North Caucasus, six years after they
captured Imam Shamil in the eastern portion of that region, and 2014 is “the
150th anniversary” of that Russian victory.
But
if it was a victory for Russian forces, it was very much a defeat for those who
were its victims. As Genté points out on
the basis of interviews, the Circassians suffered losses in the hundreds of
thousands as a result and consider what happened to have been a genocide. In
their eyes, the Olympiad is taking place on what was a Russian killing field of
their ancestors.
Not
surprisingly, they are both angry and opposed to the games, the French
journalist says. One Circassian pointedly asked him to imagine how he would
feel in their place when at the Olympic opening ceremonies, “no one remembers
us or our tragedy but instead [the Russian authorities invite] the choir of the
Kuban Cossacks who were allies of the colonizers.”
What
makes Putin’s effort so passionate and ultimately so problematic, the French
journalist says, is that “his policies [in the North Caucasus] have been
unsuccessful.” The rise of Islamist militants has occurred since he took
office. “Today’s Daghestan is practically in a state of civil war.” And in the
past year alone, he points out, “500 people died” in conflicts there.
Putin,
Genté says, “while a very strong political leader is unbelievably weak in
certain areas.” He hasn’t figured out
how to make Russia into a place where ethnic Russians and Caucasian peoples can
live together in peace. And he doesn’t appear to be “in a position to resolve”
this problem.
Instead,
the Kremlin leader is “somewhat schizophrenic,” now appearing to support the
nationalists and then talking about how Russia is “a multi-national
state.” By shifting back and forth, he
has given the impression that “he is not capable of making a choice” or of
having a serious policy beyond emotionally responding to events.
In this, the journalist says, the Kremlin
leader is remarkably similar to “the entire Russian political class, including
liberals from Yabloko,” who just like Putin get upset when Caucasians kill
Russians but are not similarly outraged when Russians kill Caucasians. That
sends a message to both Russians and Caucasians, and it is “a very dangerous
one.”
Pressed
by his interviewer, Genté argues that one should not view the Caucasus as
Russia’s Algeria, but he draws an even more damning conclusion. In many ways,
he says, the regimes Putin has set up in Chechnya and elsewhere in the North
Caucasus are miniature versions of the regime he has in Moscow.
Consequently,
if there was more democracy in Moscow, “the Caucasus would be more democratic
as well.” Whether that would suit Putin’s purposes in either place is doubtful
and whether he could achieve either remains even more so.
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