Paul
Goble
Staunton, June 13 – The government
of Uzbekistan has denied that there is any separatist movement in Karakalpakia,
but despite those denials, Tashkent has tightened security measures in that
autonomous republic in the western part of the country, moves that suggest move
may be going on in Nukus than many had thought.
Two weeks ago, following reports
about the appearance of a reconstituted independence movement in Karakalpakia,
a hitherto unknown group, “Alga Karakalpakstan” (“Forward Karakalpakia!”)
called on the World Bank to ensure that any money it gave to Tashkent would
help Karakalpakia in the first instance (lenta.ru/articles/2014/06/10/karakalpakstan/).
The appeal said that otherwise, the
Uzbekistan central government would use such funds to discriminate against the Karakalpak
minority and Karakalpakia more generally. That autonomous republic, whose population
numbers 1.5 million, makes up more than a third of Uzbekistan’s territory. Most
of it is desert as a result of the desiccation of the Aral Sea.
According to an article in Lenta.ru,
“practically the entire territory of the autonomous republic is in a zone of
ecological catastrophe,” with inadequate drinking water, unemployment among
women reaching 90 percent, and a standard of living significantly below that of
the rest of Uzbekistan.
Conditions there have long been bad,
the news agency notes, pointing out that “at the end of the 1980s,” Moscow,
recognizing that the drying up of the Aral wasn’t going to be stopped, “even
developed plans for saving the Karakalpaks” by resettling them to the Tver
Oblast of the then-RSFSR. Those plans were never carried out.
Ethnically, Karakalpaks form a third
of the population, Uzbeks a second, and Kazakhs, Russians, Ukrainians and
Koreans another third. And the autonomy was shifted from Kazakh to Uzbek
control during the Soviet period.
On December 14, 1990, the Supreme
Soviet of the Karakalpak ASSR “(later than Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan but
earlier than Kyrgyzstan),” adopted a declaration of state sovereignty which
called for “a completely independent state” to be realized by “an all-republic
referendum.”
At
that time, there was widespread support for that idea, and pro-independence
figures dominated the government. But subsequently,
“using the carrot and stick method,” Uzbekistan President Islam Karimov was
able to bring Nukus to heel. In 1993, Tashkent and Karakalpakia signed an
agreement under which Karakalpakia would remain in Uzbekistan for 20 years.
That
term ran out last year, but in the intervening period, the Uzbek authorities
moved to suppress the Karakalpak movement, dismissing or arresting those who
had backed independence for the autonomous republic and reducing to window
dressing any symbols of sovereignty that the Karakalpaks had.
Uzbek
repression together with ecological and economic collapse led to the
outmigration of more than 250,000 people from Karakalpakia, most to Kazakhstan
but some to the Russian Federation.
Moreover, ccording to Alg Karakalpakistan, “more than 2,000 Karakalpaks
are ‘rotting in Uzbek prisons’ for pursuing ‘freedom and independence.’”
The
movement also asserts that Tashkent has forcibly sterilized Karakalpak women.
According to Lenta.ru, there is evidence that the Uzbek authorities have done
this across Uzbekistan but there is none available showing that Tashkent has
used ethnicity as a basis for such a horrific action.
When
the first reports about the new nationalist group appeared, Tashkent officials
expressed doubts that it even existed. Some close to the security agencies said
that if it exists at all, it would be the creation of outside forces interested
in exploiting the oil and gas of the autonomous republic.
There
have been earlier outbursts of Karakalpak activism, however. In 2008, some
Karakalpaks cited the independence of Kosovo as a precedent for their own, and
in 2010, there were strikes and demonstrations in Nukus and other Karakalpak
cities against Tashkent’s control of the republic.
According
to Lenta.ru, separatist sentiment in Karakalpakia is currently quite limited,
but “in the future, especially after the change of power in Uzbekistan” with
the departure or death of President Islam Karimov, “the situation could change.” It could also change if the Karakalpaks are
subject to Islamization.
Despite
such dismissals of Karakalpak nationalism, Roman Mamytov, an activist there,
says that Tashkent has stepped up night patrols and launched new criminal
prosecutions of those who were involved in the 2008 appeals. Moreover, although
he does not say so, the 20 year agreement between Nukus and Tashkent has now
expired.
“We,
the people of Karakalpakia, know and believe that Karakalpakia will be free and
independent from Uzbekistan and that, as full-fletched Central Asian state will
occupy a worthy place in the contemporary world,” Mamytov said a year ago. At the very least, it appears that more
people there share his hopes now.
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