Paul Goble
Staunton,
January 12 – Vladimir Putin does not have a well-developed ideology, however
much people want to find one. Rather, his eclectic cynicism provides him with
the flexibility to keep himself in power, is congruent with a consumerist
Russian society skeptical of any broader systems, but points to a horrific
totalitarian future for Russia and an ever more dangerous world.
That
damning judgment is offered by Mikhail Ryklin, a Russian philosopher and author
now living in Germany whose wife committed suicide after being harassed by the
Russian authorities for her role in the “Watch Out: Religion” exhibit at the
Sakharov Museum in 2003 (svoboda.org/content/article/26787369.html).
In
an interview with RFE/RL’s Dmitry Volchek, Ryklin says that since he came to
power in 1999, Putin has sought to inculcate in the Russian population “a
cynical attitude toward everything. Now this cynicism has affected an enormous
number of people as the Crimea events show.”
Some
people argue that Putin is a conservative nationalist, he continues, but “no
big ideology stands behind Putinism.” He is completely cynical about all of his
moves and it is worth noting that today he is simultaneously persecuting
liberals and also those harsh nationalists who understand in their own way how
it is necessary to conquer ‘the Russian world.’”
“Chekists
are not that educated,” and Putin is one of them, Ryklin says. “They do not
need an ideology; for them the main thing is to have everything under control.
If that is an ideology, then Putin and his entourage have one. But it isn’t an
elaborate ideology like National Socialism or even more Communism.”
That absence of any core set of beliefs – other than
self-preservation and control – in turn helps to explain why Putin and his
regime can suddenly change course and also why his and their reaction to events
is often schizophrenic, reflecting the fact that they see value of being on
both sides of an issue.
Thus,
official Moscow’s reaction to the Charlie Hebdo terrorist act, Ryklin says. On
the one hand, Putin and other officials condemned the actions of the Islamists.
But on the other, they and even more those close to them signaled that the
Europeans in significant ways had themselves to blame for being overly
tolerant.
Because of this eclecticism and cynicism, he continues,
“Russian society still does not imagine what awaits it in the next year or
two.” But neither does Putin, Ryklin
suggests. His playing with nationalism, his authoritarianism, and his cynicism
has brought Russia nothing but pain even while Russians continue to view him as
a great patriot.
If
Putin is able to continue his current course, Russians will eventually find
themselves in the position of the Germans in 1945, forced to confront the
horrors carried out by their leaders and in their name. But if the economic
crisis intensifies, the very consumerism and cynicism that have led Russians to
support Putin could lead them to turn against him.
But
that is probably a vain hope, Ryklin says. “Liberals have no chances now in
Russia” given how successful Putin has been in spreading cynicism while gaining
support as someone who won’t allow any repetition of the early 1990s. And both
he and the Russians more generally are increasingly infected with a kind of
unthinking consumerist fundamentalism of a most dangerous kind.
“This
is an achievement of the Putin system,” the Russian philosopher says, but it is
one that has involved the descent of Russians into a radical consumerism – “I
have not seen a country as consumerist as Russia,” he says – and allowed him to
impose his rule on millions of people and threaten both them and the outside
world.
But
despite this “achievement,” Ryklin says that he believes that “the powers that
be will have big problems” too. The fall of the ruble reflects not just the
decline in the price of oil or the imposition of sanctions but also “the
enormous expenditures” the Kremlin is making to maintain the police and the
military.
And
this is “happening in parallel: “the price of oil is falling, but [these]
expenses are growing,” an indication that Putin and his entourage see troubles
ahead. It is thus likely given Putin’s
current radicalization, that he will respond by taking ever more risky and
dramatic moves both at home and abroad, hopeful that these will give him a way
out.
In that
event, many are going to suffer, and many are going to have to answer even if
the answer they are likely to provide is like the one the Germans gave in 1946:
“we didn’t have any relation to all this; we are small and simple people.” Unfortunately for them, that will not save
them either.
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