Paul
Goble
Staunton, July 17 – Most analysts
assume that Vladimir Putin and his system are strengthened by every
recrudescence of Soviet values, but that may not be true, according to the
editors of “Nezavisimaya gazeta,” who point to the return of “uravnilovka” –
the notion that no one should be much richer than anyone else – as an obvious
exception.
In a lead article today, they point
out that today, 47 percent of Russians, the latest Levada Center poll finds,
are against millionaires because they “do not believe that in Russia is it
possible to earn that much money legally.” And “eight percent are against such
incomes even if they are earned legitimately” (ng.ru/editorial/2015-07-17/2_red.html).
In 1996, the editors continue, the
shares of Russians expressing these views were lower. Only 33 percent then said
that you could not become a millionaire in Russia except by dishonest means,
and only seven percent were opposed to such wealth as such. Eighteen percent
then said they had “nothing against those who earn millions.” Now, only 11
percent share that view.
The paper suggests that this
comparison with the 1990s is significant. In the 1990s, people lived less well
than today, but despite that “according to the findings of sociologists,
hostility to the wealthy was not as much expressed then as it is now.”
This may reflect the fact that in the
1990s, “people still believed in the possibility of enrichment but have
gradually lost this faith.” Or it may
point to the fact that the mechanisms of enrichment haven’t changed, and they
are increasingly viewed as unjust. But
despite this, support for the powers that be has increased.
That might appear to be “a paradox,”
the editors say, but “everything is explicable. In the 1990s, however difficult
they were, the way out of the uneviable situation was seen in private initiative
and entrepreneurialism.” Consequently, “a wealthy individual” was a model,
someone to emulate rather than to disdain.
This changed, “Nezavisimaya gazeta”
suggests, “when the state gained the chance to provide and extend social
guarantees” and when the authorities exploited “leftist” attitudes by employing
“anti-oligarchic and anti-privatization rhetoric,” when the political
authorities suggested they had controlled the oligarchs of the 1990s with
taxes, jail or exile.
Because of the way in which
government-controlled media report, most Russians “know far less about the new
billionaires than they did about Berezovsky, Abramovich or Khodorkovsky,” and
thus, “the popularity of the authorities is explained by the fact that in the
eyes of the dependent electorate, [the authorities] have restored justice.”
Justice in this new paradigm is
viewed not as providing mechanisms for enrichment but rather “as pressure on
the wealthy” and support for those less well off. “Guarantees have become the basic value and
goal, including for young people,” the editors say, and if they meet with the
president, they talk about regulation or protection rather than opportunities.
In the short and medium term, this
may secure support for the Putin system as long as it is able to maintain its
image as a defender of the population against the wealthy, as “Nezavisimaya
gazeta” suggests. But in the longer term, this return of “uravnilovka” is very
much a threat to that system and to Putin personally.
On the one hand, many of his closest
supporters are that precisely because he has allowed them to enrich themselves.
Any steps which threaten their opportunities would cost him their backing. And on the other, Russians are likely to recognize
that no one has enriched himself more than Putin personally, a recognition that
will cost him support and possibly more than that.
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