Paul
Goble
Staunton, August 17 – Many have
suggested that many in Vladimir Putin’s entourage are upset with him because
his policies have sparked Western sanctions that have reduced their wealth or
freedom of movement. But Konstantin Borovoy says that Putin’s incautious use of
nuclear threats is also alienating around him who fear what such threats could
lead to.
In a comment to Kyiv’s Apostrophe
portal, the Russian opposition figure says that the Kremlin’s statement that it
does not see a basis for continuing talks with the US on nuclear disarmament is
part and parcel of “the classical behavior of an outlaw state for whom the next
step is a complete rupture of diplomatic
relations” (apostrophe.com.ua/article/world/ex-ussr/2015-08-17/yadernyiy-shantaj-ostatki-adekvatnyih-lyudey-v-kremle-v-ujase/2111).
Such
a demonstration of “schizophrenia in the Kremlin,” one that is approaching “the
clinical,” Borovoy argues, frightens those with the elite who still have a
modicum of good sense because it signals that there is very little Moscow might
do and that the actions of the foreign ministry are simply another part of the
Kremlin’s “propaganda machine.”
Those
within the elite may be more likely to desert him over this than even over
economic sanctions, Borovoy suggests, because everyone can now see that the
Putin regime is behaving according to the following “inadequate” logic: “Because
we do not like your reaction to the downing of the Boeing, we will no longer
feel bound by the non-proliferation treaty and provide nuclear arms to those who
want them.”
Such
a declaration, the Russian opposition figure says, is “in violation of all
international agreements.” Moreover, he argues, “the despair in which Putin
finds himself suggests that such inadequate actions will be carried out.” That in turn will force the international
community to conclude that one of its members “has gone mad.”
In
Yeltsin’s time, Moscow worked with the West to prevent the proliferation of
nuclear weapons. But now “Putin and his entourage have already gone beyond the
limits of the terms and technologies of the cold war. What is happening now can
be described as the open preparation for the conduct of World War III.”
Khrushchev
tried to put missiles in Cuba but he was blocked. And more recently North Korea
has engaged in similar nuclear “blackmail,” as did on occasion Iraq and Iran. “But
until now, not one nuclear power seriously permitted itself to behave as an
outlaw state.”
“There
is a first time for everything,” Borovoy says. “Now, for the first time a
country which aspires in a certain way aspires to leadership in international
affairs and the status of a super power is beginning to conduct itself like an
outlaw state.”
That
certainly concerns many in Moscow; it should concern the rest of the world as
well.
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