Paul
Goble
Staunton, September 21 – Many Russian
opposition figures and commentators have long assumed that the exposure of the
corrupt nature of the Putin regime will cost it support in the population and
thus they greet each revelation of a major corruption scandal with predictions
that the Kremlin will lose support.
But that has not happened despite
the extraordinary level of corruption in the Russian regime and the ways in
which it has been convincingly documented, Kseniya Kirillova points out, and
there are three fundamental reasons why the assumption on which such prophesies
are made is false and likely to remain so in the future (svoboda.org/content/article/27233447.html).
First of all, she points out,
Russians as a whole view corruption as endemic. They recognize that the Putin
vertical is about theft and illegality, but they believe, and are encouraged by
the Kremlin media to believe, that the opposition is corrupt as well and that
there is thus “no sense in ‘exchanging one group of thieves’ for another.”
Moreover, and again as a result of Russian propaganda,
most Russians believe that while “the members of the Putin elite are ‘simply
thieves,’” the regime’s opponents “are thieves and also ‘foreign agents’ who
will not simply steal … but consciously ‘destroy Russian on the orders of their
masters across the ocean.”
So
far at least, Kirillova says, “the majority of Russians is not capable of
believing that there exist states in which the level of corruption is extremely
low” or that Russia could ever be a state in which thievery was not the norm.
Second,
and especially during the “’fat’ years” of high oil prices, many Russians did
not suffer that much directly from corruption and generally viewed corruption
as someone else’s problem. And now, when
times are tough, “many do not connect the decline of their standard of living
with corruption but instead view the financial crisis as the result” of actions
by outsiders.
And
third, “despite its own corruption, the powers that be have been able to use
the theme of the struggle with corruption to strengthen their own authority.” Even though most Russians are acceptant of “the
inevitability of theft,” they positively welcome efforts by the Kremlin to
fight against corruption.
And
the Kremlin’s periodic campaigns against corruption allow it to achieve three
goals. First, such campaigns inevitably directed at the boyars have the effect
of raising the authority of the tsar, in this case the president, who is viewed
as the only person capable of taking on those who oppress the people.
Second,
the Kremlin can ensure that they are “extremely selective.” Thus it does not
allow any mention about corruption in the FSB, although it is clear that that
agency represents “a very large” fraction of corrupt activities. And third, such campaigns reinforce the
popular assumption that only the powers have the right to struggle with
corruption.
Thus,
when the Russian opposition raises the issue of corruption, it often is
unwittingly playing into the hands of the Kremlin because it reinforces the
view that only Putin can really address the matter and therefore boosts his
support in the population rather than undermining it in any way.
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