Paul
Goble
Staunton, February 3 – In a recent
book review essay in the New York Review
of Books, military historian Max Hastings cites a passage from Nicholas
Stargardt’s “The German War” (Basic Books, 2015) to explain why Germans
continued to “close ranks around Hitler” even after it became obvious that their
country was going to lose the war.
The argument Stargardt offers and
that Hastings finds persuasive is this: If Germans lost the war, they knew that
“retribution must follow” and that this retribution “seemed likely to be
annihilatory.” Consequently, Stargardt
says, faced with the prospect of defeat,
“Neither Nazism
nor the war itself could be rejected, because Germans envisaged their own
defeat in existential terms. The worse their war went, the more obviously ‘defensive’
it became. Far from leading to collapse, successive crises acted as catalysts
of radical transformation … Major disasters like Stalingrad and Hamburg did
indeed lead to a catastrophic fall in the regime’s popularity, but they did not
in themselves call patriotic commitment into question.”
(This
quotation is given in Hastings’ “Why the Germans Closed Ranks around Hitler,” New York Review of Books, October 22,
2015, p. 29.)
Stargardt’s insight may be
instructive for analyzing what is happening and is likely to happen in Russia
today under Vladimir Putin in three ways.
First, it explains why the Kremlin increasingly casts the struggle
between Russia and the West now in apocalyptic terms, talking about supposed
Western plans to dismember Russia.
Second, it explains why many
Russians even those opposed to Putin’s policies will continue to express
support for him as the symbol of their statehood. It is not just that Russian
liberalism “ends at Ukraine.” Russian liberalism may end at the thought that
Russia itself is at stake. (On this, see Aleksandr Shiropayev at kasparov.ru/material.php?id=56B1A86B15E8F).
And third, it explains why despite
all the challenges he now faces or more precisely because of those challenges
as he and his propagandists define them, Putin may be able to retain support
far longer than many expect – and do so by playing this apocalyptic card, as
dangerous as that ultimately is for Russia and the world. Indeed, it may even explain some of the outrages his regime commits.
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