Paul
Goble
Staunton, December 15 – There has
been a dramatic increase in the influence of pro-Putin forces in the West in
recent months, Yevgeny Ikhlov says; but at the same time, there has also emerged
in Western societies a real horror about what the Kremlin leader is doing in
Syria in general and in the abattoir of Aleppo in particular.
Today, these two developments in
Western opinion are not only in open competition with one another but also
recall the reaction in many European countries to Adolph Hitler between 1933
when he became chancellor and 1936 when some of his more horrific goals no
longer could be denied, the Moscow analyst argues (kasparov.ru/material.php?id=5850F8859D56A).
During
that three year period, sympathy for the German fuehrer grew and “fascist-like
pro-German movements appeared in almost all countries” of the continent,” he points
out. “But then reports about ever more repressions and … and new waves of
anti-Semitism blocked this ‘Hiterlizing pattern.’”
The
question now is which of these two trends will win out and whether the
recognition of what Putin intends will spread in the West before pro-Putin
consensus emerges and a sufficient number of “Putinophiles” achieve high
offices to “form the critical mass needed for a tectonic shift of Western
policy” or whether an anti-Putin consensus does and blocks its rise.
The
course of events in the 1930s suggests that this is a more open question than
many of his backers, who ignore the impact that Aleppo on Western public
opinion, recognize. And it is also a more open one than many of his opponents,
who ignore the inevitable attractiveness of a strong man who can get his way by
force is affecting it as well, now admit.
But
it is the key question before all members of the international community because
blocking Putin is likely to become ever more difficult and costly just as
blocking Hitler was after the great powers failed to take action against that
earlier dictator at the beginning of his rise.
And that reflection should tilt the balance away from Putin and Putinism
and toward sanity.
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