Paul
Goble
Staunton, December 28 – Tatarstan President
Rustam Minnikhanov has denounced the Russian government’s decision to take,
without any consultation or approval, more of the profits of enterprises in
donor republics like his, an action that some analysts see triggering a political
crisis not only between Moscow and Kazan but between the center and the entire
periphery.
Speaking to his republic’s State
Council, which unanimously supported him, Minnikhanov said that “we understand
that it is necessary to support the recipient regions but not by making the
situation which we have now still worse” in those regions and republics which
are doing less badly than the others (echo.msk.ru/blog/dgudkov/1899462-echo/).
“We have few donor
regions,” Minnikhanov pointed out. “For the entire country there are fewer than
ten, but it is precisely these which are the most influential and namely
against htem the government has adopted an extremely dangerous measure: taking another
one percent by means of the tax on profits.”
“Earlier, they took two percent, and
now they plan to take three percent. This involves a significant amount of
money. In exchange, they promise support through consultations but all this
means,” he said, “is ‘you give us money and we will say thank you back.’”
“In a unilateral way, a decision is
taken at the federal level. No agreements. Plus this is another attempt to
change the rules on co-financing: those who work well aren’t to get federal
subsidies. This in general is stupidity! Where is the country going? We are a
federative state! How after this can we take part in federal programs?” (afterempire.info/2016/12/27/federative/).
And
then, having said that it is likely Russian officials had misrepresented what
they were doing to the Kremlin, the Tatarstan president drew a comparison that
is likely to wake some in the center up. He compared the current Moscow action
with “’de-kulakization,’” Stalin’s program that led to the destruction of the peasantry.
Moscow
imposed that policy without any consultations, Minnikhanov pointed out, and “we
saw the consequences.” That should be a reminder of how wrong it is for the
center to adopt on a unilateral basis decisions in which all the federal
subjects should be participants (golosislama.com/news.php?id=30829).
Russian opposition politician and
commentator Dmitry Gudkov pointed out the obvious: “The Russian Federation already
for a long time has not been a federation. In its relations to the regions, it
conducts itself as a typical empire: it arranges for money to come to the
center and then it redistributes it … The majority of [regions] are quiet,”
especially if they a recipients
But “the ‘donors’ are already
raising their voice,” and their voice
matters, Gudkov continues, because they give “not only money but – some of them
– an electorate as well,” something that Moscow can’t afford to ignore given
that 2018 and the presidential race is approaching (echo.msk.ru/blog/dgudkov/1899462-echo/).
Moscow, he
continues, has found it easy to take rights away from individual citizens
without giving back anything in exchange; but “regional elites are beginning to
grumble.”
Meanwhile, Russian political
scientist Andrey Serenko argues that what Minnikhanov has done by his remarks
constitutes “the first serious test” for the new people running domestic
politics in the Presidential Administration because his attitudes reflect those
not only of his republic but of many others (iarex.ru/articles/53439.html).
Minnikhanov’s outburst, he says, “is
a sign of the intensifying dissatisfaction of regional elites with Kremlin
policy. Chechen head Ramzan Kadyrov won a battle with Moscow on the budget, but
if the Chechen episode can be considered an exception, based on the special
status of this region, ‘the Kazan rising’ may turn out to be a more serious
political event.”
“Tatarstan,” Serenko continues, “is
the only subject of the Russian Federation which has retained a treaty format
in its relations with the center. Taking part of the republic’s income can be
interpreted not only as ‘a cynical theft’ from the region but even as an
attempt to change the special character of relations with Moscow, an attack on
its ‘remaining sovereignty.’”
It isn’t yet clear how far things
will go and whether this will simply be a playing out of a behind-the-scenes
bureaucratic fight or will spread to the public. But regardless, Minnikhanov’s
protest will be used by those in Moscow who disagree with Sergey Kiriyenko, the
new curator for domestic affairs in the Presidential Administration.
And Serenko concludes with the
following warning: “The sharpening conflicts between interest groups in the capital
and the budget crisis is rapidly politicizing relations between Russian regions
and Moscow. In 2017, this trend could become still more noteable.”
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