Paul
Goble
Staunton, March 9 – Vladimir Putin
has tried to create something that the world has never seen and that quite
possibly cannot be realized: the construction of a totalitarian state not on
the basis of ideology but rather on political technologies alone. In any case,
the Kremlin leader has failed in this attempt, according to Igor Eidman.
In Soviet times, the Russian
commentator points out, the regime did everything it could to decapitate any
political opponent of the system. But in Putin’s times, which can be described
as “political technology totalitarianism,” opposition figures can exist as long
as they are useful for the Kremlin (kasparov.ru/material.php?id=58BC37D3C4390).
Opposition figures
who represent a real threat to the authorities can be “driven into emigration, isolated
or even killed,” Eidman continues; but many others who some might view as being
part of that category are useful – or at least the Kremlin hopes they can be.
That is true of Aleksey Navalny and Ildar Dadin -- although in these cases, Putin
appears to have miscalculated.
“The Kremlin is trying to use
Navalny’s investigations to force the ruling hierarchy to close ranks ever more
tightly around Putin given that he like any dictator (including Stalin) needs a
weak, subordinate and entirely dependent entourage.” Navalny “psychologically terrorizes” the
elite, whose members are thus reminded that only Putin can defend them.
The Dadin case is similar. The harsh
sentence he was given was intimidating to many who might otherwise have followed
his lead; and “initially everything went according to plan. People really were
in shock from such a harsh sentence and didn’t intend to sit in prison
alongside Dadin.”
“However,” Eidman argues, this “political
technology totalitarianism turned out to be an unrealizable utopia.”
Navalny’s investigations became the
talk of the country, discrediting not so much Dmitry Medvedev who is not all
that popular but rather Putin himself.
And Dadin’s “heroic behavior” has the effect of “destroying the Kremlin’s
scenario” for him. In short, what the
Kremlin achieved was exactly the reverse of what it wanted.
“The most recent events show,”
Eidman concludes, “that the Kremlin cannot take the political situation in the
country under total country, that it is not all-powerful, and that it can be
outplayed. Political technology
totalitarianism hasn’t been established, and thus there is a chance for the
rebirth of a massive protest movement.”
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