Paul
Goble
Staunton, April 18 – The Syrian
military does not have enough personnel to simultaneously launch major attacks,
suppress militants, and garrison cities under its control, and so Moscow has
dispatched to Syria irregular forces which it calls “the Spetznaz of the USSR”
that consist not of professional soldiers but of irregulars from Central Asia
and the Caucasus.
According to the “Russian Spring”
portal, which was launched at the time of the Crimean Anschluss, this force,
which it labels “a counter-partisan special detachment from the countries of
the former USSR,” calls itself TURAN, has its own uniforms and numbers between
800 and 1200 fighters (rusvesna.su/news/1492334769).
Most of the participants come from
Central Asia and the South Caucasus, but some come from the North Caucasus as
well, the portal says. They are armed
with weapons from the former Soviet Union as well as the West, and they appear
to “belong to the now fashionable innovation of contemporary war – private military
companies.”
Its commanders say, RusVesna
reports, that they will soon be sending up to 400 of their number along the road
connecting Aleppo and Es-Saur in support of government forces.
And the portal adds that “the appearance
of such departments on the side of government forces should become a signal for
the militants that against them are fighting representatives of a good half of
the countries of the former USSR which in turn means the following: the days of
their bandit activities on the Syrian land are numbered.”
The participation of as many as 10,000
militants from Russia and the other post-Soviet states has attracted enormous
attention as has the Russian military presence not only in the form of regular
units but also Chechen police detachments that Ramzan Kadyrov has loudly
promised he has sent.
But this new Russian-organized “special
forces” group is ominous for three reasons: First, such nominally irregular fighters
because their activities can be denied not only by Damascus but by Moscow as
well are likely to engage in even more vicious actions than the regular units
of both.
Second, their appearance may help Bashar
Asad in the short term but they almost certainly guarantee that Russian
involvement in his regime will be far more long-lasting than many have thought,
with units of this “Spetznaz of the USSR” integrating themselves into the
Syrian control system again in deniable ways.
And third, and perhaps most worrisome of
all, such units may represent a model for future Russian behavior in other
hotspots, where most attention will focus on militants fighting for Islamist
causes rather than on irregulars fighting for dictatorial regimes which are now
Moscow’s only allies.
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