Paul
Goble
Staunton, August 19 – In the name of
development and national security, Moscow demographer Yury Krupnov has called
for shifting the Russian capital from Moscow to somewhere east of the Urals as
part of a much larger effort to “de-Muscovize” the country which he says is now
at risk because of “hyper-centralization.”
Krupnov of the Moscow Institute of
Demography, Migration and Regional Development has called of shifting the
capital before as have others, but this time he has embedded that idea in a
much more ramified system for “de-Muscovizing” Russia lest it fail to develop
or lose control over portions of its territory (russian.rt.com/russia/news/420742-rossiya-stolica-ural-moskva).
He has presented these ideas in a
paper on this to Vladimir Putin.
According to Krupnov, Russia is “’hyper-centralized’”
with the Moscow region now having nearly a fifth of the country’s population
and the other 15 to 25 largest urban agglomerations bringing the total in such
concentrations to more than half of the total number of citizens in the
country.
He argues that the continuing
internal migration toward these centers may mean that Russia “cold lose its
geopolitical advantages and even sovereignty over territories distant from the
big cities.” More than that,
concentrated in such center, “Russians will continue to lose the impulse of
vital creativity.”
Already, Krupnov continues, Russians
don’t want to increase the size of their families and are falling victim to the
global plague of small families and thus withering away … We today on
one-seventh of the earth’s surface live seven to ten times more densely than do
the English or the Germans.”
To change this vector, he says,
several things are needed. First of all, the capital should be shifted “beyond the
Urals.” Then all small cities of the country should be joined together by air
and water networks. And finally, Moscow must give priority to the Far East and
Siberia in order to decentralize the country.
Cities should be restricted in size,
and the country should move from megalopolises consisting of high-rises to
smaller cities based on one and two-storey housing. That will allow Russians to develop and
overcome their current demographic problems, something that will ultimately
require building “thousands of new cities and the infrastructure linking them.”
There is little or no possibility
that Krupnov’s ideas will be accepted, but
one thing the current run-up to the presidential elections is doing is
offering the possibility for many to offer grand plans for the future. Out of
these may come some significant changes, although any move away from Moscow
almost certainly won’t happen under Vladimir Putin.
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