Paul
Goble
Staunton, August 13 – In order to
preserve his regime and retain his personal power, Vladimir Putin is prepared
to isolate Russia, clericalize society, and degrade the population, Igor
Yakovenko says; fur fortunately, because Russia is a European country, he has few
chances to succeed in doing so.
The Moscow commentator points out
that many in Russia, including people like “former liberal and democrat and now
a big supporter of Putin and an anti-Westerner, Sergey Stankevich,” are
especially angry that the US has lumped Russia together with North Kore and
Iran in its current sanctions package (kasparov.ru/material.php?id=598E96ECD3A58).
Stankevich and his
ilk don’t recognize that for Putin to survive, the Kremlin leader’s only chance
is to copy elements from those two states.
In a certain sense, Yakovenko continues, “sanctions and the growth of
isolation can add stability to the Putin regime” far more than any import
substitution or the rise in domestic production.
Instead, “for sanctions to strengthen
the Putin regime, he must rape the country several times, finally finish off
several of the remaining social institutions and cripple public consciousness”
by isolating the country from the world, clericalizing society, and degrading
Russian society at all levels.
Putin has already succeeded in
isolating Russia but not yet to North Korean or Iranian levels. In 2012,
Russia’s share of world exports was 2.86 percent. Last year, it had fallen to
1.46 percent. And at the same time, its
trade with Iran, as some “domestic patriots from the Izborsky and Zinovyev
clubs” desire, had increased.
But that is not enough for Putin.
Many of his supporters are convinced that the real crime of perestroika and its
fallout was that Russians began to think that things are better in the West
than in Russia, something that happened, Yakovenko says, because people could
see that with their own eyes when the walls came down.
To save himself, Putin must try to
reverse that and re-isolate Russia, but unfortunately for him, “’the Putin
elite’ is still not ready for that.
Compared to Iran and North Korea,
Russia’s greatest lack is a dominant totalitarian ideology. Putin would like to
see Orthodoxy play a role in that regard, but there are reasons why the Russian
Orthodox Church despite all its efforts as in the case of the Mathilda dispute
simply doesn’t have the ability to create “an Orthodox khalifate” modelled on
Iran.
The Moscow Patriarchate is incapable
of promoting that kind of ideological system: it is limited, Yakovenko argues,
to seizing property for itself much as other portions of Putin’s elite have
done.
And thus Putin has focused on the third element of this unholy trinity:
degrading the political elite and Russian society as a whole. Those surrounding
him in the Olympus of power would be laughable as members of the ruling class
anywhere but in Russia, but they are there because Putin has made great strides
in degrading the population.
However, despite the Kremlin leader’s
enormous efforts, Yakovenko says, “Putin hasn’t been able to reduce Russia to a
situation where no circumstances can anything threaten his power. The reason is
that Russia despite everything was, is and remains a European country, more
precisely a country of European culture.”
Putin
may want to take Russia down the route of North Korea, Iran or even Zimbabwe,
but “Russia all the same isn’t an African country. And thus in the battle with
everything European in Russia, Putin has not a few chances to lose,” however
strong he may look at any one time.
No comments:
Post a Comment