Paul
Goble
Staunton, May 25 – A recent article
in Moscow’s influential military affairs journal Voyennoye obozreniye says that Belarus has become “a redundant
structure” and should cease to exist, a view perhaps shared by many in the
Russian capital but one not surprisingly highly offensive in Belarus itself,
even among Belarusians who want good relations with Russia.
The Russian article, entitled “The
Republic Belarus as a Redundant Structure” and written by military commentator
Oleg Yegorov argues that Belarus should be evaluated as a business holding
company. If it is profitable, it’s worth keeping around; if not as Belarus is
not, not (topwar.ru/136081-respublika-belarus-kak-izbytochnaya-struktura.html).
Yegorov writes that since becoming
independent, the Belarusian economy has “degraded so much that only two oil
processing plants and BelarusPotash are really generating a profit,” an unacceptable
number for a country of ten million people. Much of this degradation, he continues,
is the result of Belarusian state policy and behavior.
And he argues that those three
Belarusian firms now operating at a profit would function at an even higher
level of profitability if they were within the borders of the Russian
Federation and that many other currently unprofitable Belarusian enterprises would
turn the corner and become profitable if Belarus simply ceased to exist and
they became part of the Russian market.
The Belarus Partisan portal in
reporting this Russian story clearly balances between agreeing that the
Lukashenka regime has not been good for the Belarusian economy or people and
being horrified that a Russian military commentator should suggest that this justifies
concluding that Belarus should be absorbed into Russia (belaruspartisan.org/politic/426195/).
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