Paul Goble
Staunton,
October 5 – Despite bad weather, hundreds and then thousands of Ingush came
into the streets of Magas today to continue their protest against Yunuz-Bek Yevkurov’s
border agreement with Chechnya’s Ramzan Kadyrov. Many have announced that they
will remain in the square for another night and are being fed by Ingush living
nearby (kavkaz-uzel.eu/articles/326286/,
kavkaz-uzel.eu/articles/326234/
and kavkaz-uzel.eu/articles/326258/).
Their
demands remain what they were yesterday: the rejection of the accord and the
resignation of Yevkurov and his government and demands that a new government be
formed in Ingushetia not by Moscow but in response to the will of the people,
who appear to enjoy overwhelming support, including from local siloviki and
officials and from Ingush elsewhere (meduza.io/paragraph/2018/10/05/nam-ne-do-putina-seychas).
According
to several reports, some in the local force structures have gone over to the demonstrators
and even blocked the entrance of Russian forces. Not surprisingly, the authorities
reportedly are threatening a purge of all who did so; but it is not clear whether
this can happen (mk.ru/politics/2018/10/04/ingushetiya-vzbuntovalas-evkurova-zakidali-butylkami-v-magas-ne-pustili-voyska.html, charter97.org/ru/news/2018/10/5/307815/
and kavkaz-uzel.eu/articles/326269/).
The
Ingush community in Moscow, for example, hoped to send an automobile column
south to Magas to support the demonstrators but was talked out of it by
officials. However, again according to media accounts, groups of Ingush from
the Russian capital and elsewhere are heading south on their own (kavkaz-uzel.eu/articles/326248/ and nazaccent.ru/content/28353-ingushskaya-obshina-moskvy-podderzhit-protesty-v.html).
Meanwhile, Yevkurov and the authorities
are taking a hard line. His operatives kept the republic parliament from having
a quorum today. Had the deputies been able to assemble, they say, they would
have again voted to reject the deal that Yevkurov, Kadyrov and Moscow have insisted
was already approved (kavkaz-uzel.eu/articles/326285).
There is no sign that either side is
prepared to back down, setting the stage for more serious confrontations in the
near future. But the demonstrations have already had one major effect: While
Moscow isn’t reporting them very much, media and bloggers elsewhere in the North
Caucasus are – and asking the same questions the Ingush are in the streets
demanding answers for (sovsekretno.ru/articles/id/5974/).
That may prove to be the most important
consequence of the Ingush protests regardless of what happens in the next few
days – and unlike the suppression by force of the protesters, the only way they
are likely to disperse if their demands are not met, these questions are likely
to echo and cause Moscow far more problems in the region than it has had in years.
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