Paul
Goble
Staunton, April 17 – Now that the
Duma has passed on third reading a bill that will allow Moscow to try to cut
off the Russian Internet or Runet from the world wide web, most discussion has
focused either on the impossibility of its being able to do so or on the ways
in which such self-imposed isolation will harm Russia itself.
But one provision of the bill,
almost certain to be approved by the Federation Council and signed into law by
Vladimir Putin, may prove to be one of the most consequential. Under the
measure’s terms, Agentura.ru’s Andrey
Soldatov points out, Moscow can shut off Internet service region by region (newtimes.ru/articles/detail/179590).
It almost certainly can do that more
easily and more effectively than it can for the country as a whole, and it can
likely escape the kind of withering criticism it would face if it shut down
access in Moscow or St. Petersburg. Indeed, if used against restive regions and
republics, many Russians might even support such actions.
But if Moscow uses this measure to
provide legal cover for that kind of repressive action, it may find that it
will backfire. On the one hand, it will make it even more obvious than now that
the powers that be view Russians in the regions and non-Russians in the
republics as second class citizens, something that may add to regional and national
protests.
And on the other, as the situation
in Ingushetia is demonstrating, if Moscow attacks electronic connections in places
where protests are happening, even more people may come into the streets to find
out what is happening and add themselves to the movement, exactly the reverse
of what Moscow hopes for.
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