Paul
Goble
Staunton, June 24 – As news spread last
night that Yunus-Bek Yevkurov had requested that Vladimir Putin allow him to
leave his position as head of Ingushetia, residents of that North Caucasus
republic went into the streets to celebrate, sounding horns and setting off
fireworks. But many are already
expressing concerns about what may come next.
Yevkurov said he was requesting
relief because of the deep split in Ingush society which he blamed on Ingush
public organizations and the Muslim leadership of the republic, a dishonest euphemism
for the split and protest he provoked by signing a border agreement with
Chechnya and repressing all who opposed him (kavkaz-uzel.eu/articles/337060/).
But the Ingush are already looking
beyond Yevkurov recognizing that unless the law is changed, their parliament
will be forced to accept one of the candidates named by Putin, quite likely another
Ingush but one like Yevkurov who had made his career beyond the borders of that
North Caucasus republic and not willing to defend it against Moscow or
Chechnya.
Opposition figures were unanimous in
saying that their protests had led to Yevkurov’s withdrawal and so this event
is victory, but they also said that his departure was only one of their three
main demands. The others, restoration of direct popular election of the
republic head and the release of all political prisoners, remain unfulfilled
and may remain so.
Magomed Mutsolgov, an Ingush
activist and blogger, said there was some reason for optimism. After all
Yevkurov had departed as a result of public protest just as his predecessor was
ousted in 2008 when Ingush went into the streets to condemn his violent attacks
on Ingush opposition figures (kavkaz-uzel.eu/blogs/342/posts/38413).
“This shows,” he says, “that the
effective source of power really is the people even when the powers that be do
not recognize this or when the people themselves don’t believe it. Anyone sent by Moscow after Yevkurov should
remember this and act accordingly – otherwise, Mutsolgov said, he will suffer
the fate of his predecessors, an early ouster.
Yevkurov has apparently tried to
offer his resignation before, and Putin’s press spokesman even called his
latest offer “expected,” yet another indication that the entire process has
been stage-managed by the Kremlin rather than being the personal decision of
Yevkurov alone (kavkaz-uzel.eu/articles/337090/).
It appears that the proximate cause
of Yevkurov’s action was a Moscow conference on Ingushetia that had been
scheduled for June 25. At such a meeting, his relations with the republic’s
population could have been expected to be sharply criticized. With his
departure, the meeting has been cancelled (zamanho.com/?p=9735).
Some commentators are already speculating
about what Yevkurov’s resignation in the wake of massive protests means more
generally. One has suggested that in the short term at least, his departure
strengthens the hand of Chechnya’s Ramzan Kadyrov who now will wield even more
influence in Ingushetia than he did (rbc.ru/politics/24/06/2019/5d1106aa9a794772f8da1446).
And
others, on the SerpomPo telegram challenge suggest that Yevkurov’s departure
really should have an even larger result: “Yevkurov has left having shown the way
for Putin. The time for [the Kremlin leader] to go has come as well” (echo.msk.ru/blog/serpompo2018/2451655-echo/).
No comments:
Post a Comment