Paul
Goble
Staunton, June 28 – The Ingushetia
election commission announced today that Makhmud-Ali Kalimatov will be voted on
and presumably approved by the republic’s Popular Assembly on the same day that
Ingush residents go to the polls to elect municipal councils (ansar.ru/society/stala-izvestna-data-vyborov-glavy-ingushetii).
That coincidence may or may not lead
to trouble given how many Ingush opposition figures have expressed the view
that any new head of the republic should be subject to the direct vote of the population,
one of their three key demands up to now (the other are the release of
prisoners and the reversal of the border accord with Chechnya.)
Moscow
has clearly decided not to agree to that demand, something that may cast a
shadow over the beginning of Kalimatov’s time in office, largely out of concern
that any election could trigger ethnic conflicts but also because the center
does not want to appear to have made such a concession to protests (kavkaz-uzel.eu/articles/337218/).
The
Ingush were delighted by the resignation of Yunus-Bek Yevkurov but so far have
been restrained in their assessments of and predictions for his replacement,
apparently having decided to take a wait-and-see attitude (kavkazr.com/a/30023460.html).
But some telling comments are coming in both from Ingush and others.
Local residents
say that Kalimatov comes from “a respected Ingush family,” combines local and
federal experience, and importantly is not a military man but someone whose
entire career, unlike his two predecessors, has not been part of the siloviki.
Consequently, they say, he may be open to a more political and less repressive
approach.
Murad Daskiyev, head of the Union of
Teips of the Ingush People and one of the leaders of the protest movement, says
the Ingush are “fed up” with generals and want someone who talks before deciding using force. He says he hopes that Kalimatov will live up
to that standard as he did when he served in Ingushetia earlier (mbk-news.appspot.com/suzhet/chelovek-iz-dobroj-semi/).
Aleksey
Malashenko, a Moscow specialist on Islam and the Caucasus, says that Kalimatov
has all the qualities need for success: he is an ethnic Ingush but he has
worked in the center and so can function at one and the same time as a federal
and regional leader. But the tasks confronting
him are enormous; and Malashenko says he “doesn’t envy him.”
One worrying sign: Daskiyev says
that Ingush view Kalimatov as a “temporary” figure, someone sent in to do what
Moscow wants but not someone who is likely to remain in place for very
long. In Daskiyev’s mind, anyone who
wants to gain real authority in the republic will have to be elected by the
population, something Kalimatov won’t be, at least initially.
And the teip union leader ends with
a warning: If Kalimatov continues Yevkurov’s policies, there will be more and
larger protests. “If he comes in and
says let’s start with a clean slate, the situation could be entirely different.”
No comments:
Post a Comment