Paul
Goble
Staunton, September 20 – The unrest
in Buryatia, which are but the latest example of the impact of Moscow’s use of officials
who don’t know how to work with the population and can come up only with
inadequate proposals, shows Putin’s people are rapidly losing control over the
country and that, as in 1991, “the walls of the Kremlin won’t save them, Yuliya
Orlova says.
In extraordinarily harsh language,
the Svobodnaya pressa commentator says that “already, the people do not
believe the promises of the powers that be and the latter are maintaining
itself only by repressions and falsifications,” tactics that are rapidly
wearing thing (svpressa.ru/society/article/244238/).
What is most worrisome, Orlova
continues, is that when a problem arises, the Kremlin’s representatives don’t
address it but make frequently “absurd” and irrelevant proposals. When there
were problems in the Russian Far East, they moved the capital of the relevant
federal district from Khabarovsk to Vladivostok.
That precedent suggests, she argues,
that now Moscow’s people in Buryatia may rename Ulan-Ude, the capital of that
Buddhist republic, Ulan-Bator, the capital of Mongolia! That is clear evidence
that “the system of the vertical, built a couple of decades ago, is breaking
about before our eyes,” and there is no high rating of the president to
compensate.
Instead, the powers that be are
throwing out clearly ridiculous and poorly thought out ideas, like a four-day
week with no reduction of wages and salaries, just as bad as the earlier
renaming the militia as the police and shifting the dates of summer and winter
time while doing nothing to address real problems.
Medical care is in a horrific state,
the educational system is in collapse, the population is becoming poorer with
deaths rising and births falling, pensions are too low for people to live on,
productivity is declining, industrial plants are closing, and any growth is
less than the margin of error, Orlova says. These things are what Moscow should
be talking about but isn’t.
And the regime’s problems with the
population are compounded by the fact that banks are making record profits and
the incomes of those at the top are rising to new records. That is not a description of a country that
is well-managed. It is rather a portrait of one in which “the situation could
go out of control.”
Only one thing is lacking, according
to Orlova, “an attractive opposition leader who can tell people what they
expect.” If he appears, he will be able to walk into the Kremlin and take the
power which the incumbents are losing in the eyes of the entire population.
That’s what Boris Yeltsin did in 1991 – and it could happen again soon.
Some Russians are so desperate for
such a leader to appear that they aren’t waiting: they’ve turned to the shaman
from Sakha hoping he can do the job.
Aleksandr Gabyshev probably isn’t up to that, but the fact that many
think he could is the harshest indictment of the Putin system it has ever
received (cf. windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2019/09/shaman-story-overwhelms-russian-media.html).
Orlova
says she has recently reread Vyacheslav Shchepootkin’s 2013 novel, The Owl’s
Cry at the End of the Season about how and why the Soviet system came apart
(for its text, see e-reading.club/book.php?book=1029366). Once that
process starts, she says, “the walls of the Kremlin” won’t save its incumbents,
as their children already know by choosing to live abroad.
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