Paul Goble
Staunton, September 16 – In the
United States, it is often said that “all politics is local,” that is, that
outcomes are driven by the attitudes and feelings of voters in particular areas
rather than by national points of view. In Russia, up to now, the opposite has
been true; but the September 8 elections suggest that Russian politics may be
moving toward the US model.
IdelReal journalist Dmitry Lyubimov says that
the results of the various parties in Mari El as opposed to Tatarstan and
Bashkortostan reflect a combination of all-Russian and local attitudes with the
latter having become significantly more important than they were in earlier
elections (idelreal.org/a/30160996.html).
In
Mari El, opposition parties increased their representation n the republic
parliament and took control of the city councils in Ioshkar-Ola and Volzhsk. Vasily
Popov, a local political analyst, says that the reasons for United Russia’s poor
showing reflect popular anger about the party’s policies in Moscow and the
behavior of republic officials in advance of the vote.
The residents of Mari El voted against
United Russia because they associate it with various unpopular actions in the
Russian Federation as a whole such as the raising of the pension age and
increases in communal charges. But they
were also upset because the powers that be kept some parties off the ballot,
something that sent participation tumbling.
The authorities used what administrative
“resources” they could, but the results of the vote show that despite this,
they were not able to get the outcome they hoped for. And the biggest reason for
that is the behavior of republic head Aleksandre Yevtifeyev, the political
analyst says.
“In 2017, Yevstifeyev at the
elections for head of Mari El was supported by two political forces otherwise
opposed to one another, the communists and United Russia. But at the end oof
2018, it became clear that the head of the republic was given preference to the
party of power … [And] voters drew conclusions from that.”
Adding to his and United Russia’s
difficulties in Mari El is the poor condition of the republic economy. It is
far worse than those in neighboring republics, Popov continues, and people want
change. Now the opposition having gained
seats has also gained the chance to show that it can govern and not just talk.
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