Paul
Goble
Staunton, June 26 – A year ago
today, the Kremlin named Makhmud-Ali Kalimatov head of Ingushetia, replacing the
discredited and disgraced Yunus-Bek Yevkurov. Many Ingush hoped for
improvements in all sectors, but they have been disappointed. Kalimatov hasn’t
addresses the republic’s main political issues at all and he has signally
failed to improve the economy there.
Moscow may be satisfied with his approach,
commentators say, because at least he hasn’t faced the mass protests Yevkurov
did. But ever more Ingush are angry, although as one Ingush has observed, as
bad as Kalimatov has turned out to be, “it’s difficult to hate anyone more than
Yevkurov” (dailystorm.ru/vlast/god-v-teni-evkurova).
Three commentaries, one by the
Ingush Fortanga portal, a second by a regional analyst, and a third by a Moscow
analyst, all make the same point: Kalimatov’s first year has seen many changes
in the ranks of the powers that be but no real changes either in the political
situation or even more in the economy, the new republic head’s promises notwithstanding.
Because Kalimatov is an ethnic
Ingush and had worked for a few years there earlier in his career, the Fortanga
portal says, many expected that he would take seriously the need to address
both the issue of the republic’s political prisoners and the issues that led to
their incarceration (fortanga.org/2020/06/godovoj-rubezh-kalimatova-hronologiya-i-otsenki/).
But that hasn’t happened, and it is
now clear that his long years in Russia’s Samara Oblast have done more to shape
his approach and especially his servility to Moscow. As a result, hopes for liberalization have been
for naught; and anger against him has been growing, especially since he hasn’t
brought improvement in the economy as he regularly promised to do.
Kalimatov has rarely addressed
political issues at all – he’s had only one press conference the entire year –
but behind the scenes, he is known to have said that “he cannot influence the
situation with the political prisoners” because what happens to them is beyond
his control. He can only hope that somehow their problems will be resolved.
Anton Chablin, a regional analyst,
says in an evaluation of Kalimatov’s first year that it has been “an empty one,”
full of promises but with little or nothing to show for it, a pattern that ever
more Ingush recognize and despise (6portal.ru/posts/калиматов-пустой-год-во-главе-ингушет/).
From the start, Kalimatov “distanced
himself” from all political questions be they the sensitive issue of the
republic’s borders or the state of the political prisoners his predecessor
locked up. And he has been totally
unwilling to respond to Chechen leader Ramzan Kadyrov’s remarks and actions
against Ingushetia.
That may please Moscow but it has
won him no friends in Ingushetia, Chablin says. And ever more of them view his
constant changing of officials as being a means of ensuring his continuity in
power than in addressing their very real problems.
Kalimatov insists that he is focused
on the economy, but if so, he has achieved little. According to Chablin,
Ingushetia ranks 81st among Russia’s regions in terms of average
pay, 84th in terms of access to mortgages, 84th in bank
deposits, 85th in terms of spending on food as a share of income,
and 85th as far as local participation in small businesses is
concerned.
The pandemic has made everything
worse. Not only has it shown the inadequacy of healthcare in the republic, but
Kalimatov instead of addressing the issue by firing people has done nothing but
sought to bring in Moscow doctors, perhaps because he doesn’t want to attract
negative attention in the Russian capital.
And Moscow commentator Aleksey
Polorotov says that Kalimatov has spent the entire year “in the shadow of
Yevkurov” but has not done much to escape it, something Moscow is currently
pleased about but won’t be if the Ingush people resume their protests this year
(dailystorm.ru/vlast/god-v-teni-evkurova).
He hasn’t built the bridges to the
leaders of civil society or the traditional groups there on which he will have to try to rely if the situation
deteriorates; and that will mean that Moscow and Magas will have to use force
if they want to keep things under control, a move that almost certainly would
be counterproductive at least in the longer term.
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