Paul
Goble
Staunton, August 18 – Both by its
duplicity in handling the Bashkir protest against development of the Kushtau
mountain and by its repressive actions against Ayrat Dilmukhametov, Ufa has
transformed an environmental protest into a national movement, something its
leaders have built on via their own telegram channel, Vadim Sidorov says.
The Bashkirs wanted to save the
Kushtau mountain from mining and development, assembled a large protest, and
forced the head of Bashkortostan to promise not to allow anything to go forward
until a compromise was worked out. They celebrated but too soon, the
commentator says, because Rady Khabirov had betrayed them (region.expert/kushtau).
Hardly had he left the place where
the protesters were assembled, the Ufa leader ordered his siloviki to begin
harassing and arresting Bashkir activists and clearly signaled that the development
of Kushtau would go ahead as planned.
By his duplicity, Khabirov lost any support he may have had and Bashkirs
were radicalized.
They recognized that “they must
struggle not for the improvement of the existing order but for its cardinal
change, in the first instance, for the right of the people of Bashkortostan to
independently, in free and competitive elections, choose a republic head who
will defend the interests of its residents and not the Kremlin and thieving
colonial capital,” Sidorov says.
(For background on the Kushtau
events and Khabirov’s dishonest promises, see windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2020/08/widespread-horror-at-lukashenkas-use-of.html,
windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2020/08/massive-bashkir-protest-forces-republic.html
and windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2020/08/another-and-potentially-more-serious.html.)
Khabirov’s timing could hardly have
been worse: His betrayal of the protesters at Kushtau took place as the trial against
prominent Bashkir activist Ayrat Dilmukhametov began, an activist who faced up
to 12 years in prison for supposedly advocating secession and whose sentence is
expected before the end of this month.
(For background on Dilmukhametov and
his influential ideas concerning federalism, see windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2019/10/bashkir-activist-seeks-support-from.html,
windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2019/08/only-real-federalism-can-save-russia.html,
windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2019/06/imprisoned-for-advocating-federalism-in.html
and
windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2020/02/imprisoned-bashkir-activist-says.html.)
Not only has Dilmukhametov given a
face to the Bashkir protests, but it has come out that the order for his
persecution came not from Ufa but from Moscow, thus underscoring the sense
Bashkirs have that they are a colony and not currently in control of their own
destiny (windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2020/08/kremlin-gave-direct-order-for.html).
Bashkir
activists have brought these two issues together and spread the word to others
by launching their own telegram channel -- t.me/kushtay
– using the Belarusian telegram channel Nexta as their model. It now has
almost 30,000 subscribers, including many in Moscow who in the past rarely have
paid much attention to Bashkortostan.
This combination of official
duplicity and thuggishness, on the one hand, and clever use of social media by
the population, on the other, may very well mean that Bashkortostan will become
the next “hot spot” in Russia rather than the afterthought it has so often
been. That is likely to become clear when sentence is handed down against
Dilmukhametov.
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