Paul
Goble
Staunton, April 28 – The 150-minute
film “The President” about Vladimir Putin is mostly boring and predictable in
that it insists that “without Vladimir Vladimirovich nothing in the country
will work,” Kseniya Kirillova notes. But she points out that there are three “lessons”
contained in the film that must not be ignored.
First, she argues, despite all the
anti-Americanism he has promoted, Putin clearly indicates in the film that the
model of the world order he would like to see is one in which Russia and the US
would jointly decide all of the world’s “most important” geopolitical issues and
divide up the world into “spheres of influence” (nr2.com.ua/blogs/Ksenija_Kirillova/Putin-fakticheski-nazval-Ukrainu-territoriey-Rossii-95566.html).
While the Kremlin leader does not
say so, this would be a return to what he now sees as the way the world worked
between the Yalta and Potsdam conferences at the end of World War II and the
time of Mikhail Gorbachev’s perestroika and one in which other countries,
especially small ones, would have little or no voice about their fates.
Second, in the film, Putin offered
the clearest indication yet that not only does he consider the disintegration
of the USSR the greatest geopolitical tragedy of the last century but views it
in a way that is absolutely at variance with the facts, one that points to more
trouble ahead for all of the former Soviet republics and occupied Baltic
states.
According to Putin, “all of us had
illusions: it seemed then that after the destruction of the Soviet Union and
after Russia voluntarily – I stress this – voluntarily and consciously” gave up
its “own territory, productive capacity and so on, with the departure of the
ideological component which separated the former Soviet Union and the entire
rest of the civilized world, than now the fetters would fall and ‘freedom would
great us joyously at the entrance.”
Such ideas have been circulating in
the Moscow elite for some time, Kirillova says, pointing to a recent essay by
Pavel Kazarin who noted that “in the consciousness of many representatives of
the Russia elite, Moscow did not lose ‘the cold war.’ More than that, in their opinion,
the division of the Union took place not so much as a result of the collapse of
the Soviet model … but rather as a result of the Kremlin voluntarily agreeing
to join the club of western players” (ru.tsn.ua/analitika/boytes-svoih-zhelaniy-422136.html).
As a result, Kazarin says, “Moscow
conducts itself as if the Soviet Union had not fallen apart, as if it had only
been reformatted but with relations between the vassals and sovereign retained
in their former state.” (For a discussion of Kazarin’s argument and its
implications, see windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2015/04/russia-looks-in-mirror-and-sees-ussr.html.)
In “The
President,” Putin goes even further and declares that “Russia voluntarily gave
up its own territories,” Kirillova says, an assertion so sweepingly at odds
with reality that it is important to remember what actually happened 25 years
ago.
“In fact,”
Kirillova observes, “the present-day Russian Federation exists in the very same
border that the RSFSR had; that is there were no territorial changes in Russia itself
in connection with the collapse of the USSR. The republics which acquired
independence after 1991 were never part of the RSFSR.”
From this it
follows, she continues, “when Putin speaks about the territorial losses of
Russia, he is directly declaring that all the former union republics are
Russian territories! Note bene: he designates them already not as ‘zone of
influence’ … but as [his country’s] ‘own territory,’ from which Russia ‘voluntarily
withdrew.”
That is simply an Orwellian
retelling of what happened: In reality, “all the union republics, including
even Ukraine and Belarus the closest to Russia, proclaimed their sovereignty in
1989-1990, that is, before 1991, and this phenomenon even received a name, ‘the
parade of sovereignties.’”
There was nothing voluntary in
Moscow’s response: It tried to crush Lithuania first by an economic blockade
and then by the direct application of military force. But it failed to stop “the
movement for exit from the USSR” that was “born in all the union republics.” As
a result, after the failure of the August 1991 putsch, “the disintegration of
the Union was inevitable.”
The
Beloveshchaya accords of December 8, 1991, usually seen as the death
certificate of the USSR simply put on paper what had already taken place, a
reminder that “even when these republics were in the USSR, none of them called
themselves ‘Russia’s own territory.’”
That is a Putinism that goes back to tsarist times.
And finally third, Putin’s film
underscored how isolated Russia is in the former Soviet space, not how much the
peoples and countries of that territory continue to look to Moscow as Vladimir
Putin suggests they should. The only foreign
leader who gets a positive reference in the film is Kazakhstan’s Nursultan
Nazarbayev.
One might have expected there to be
some reference to Alyaksandr Lukashenka, the leader of a country that is part
of Putin’s union state of Russia and Belarus. But “obviously, the prospects of
considering his country Russia’s territory do not generate any pleasure” with
the Belarusian leader who has been distancing himself from Moscow over and as a
result of Ukraine.
Putin’s “myth about the voluntary,
carried out ‘from above’ demise of the USSR, which completely ignores the will
of the peoples populating it, shows,” Kirillova concludes, “that the Kremlin
has not drawn any conclusions from its collapse, and lessons which are not learned
as is well known, have a tendency to be repeated.”
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