Paul
Goble
Staunton, June 30 – In discussions
of amendments to the Russian Constitution, most have focused on the one allowing
Vladimir Putin to remain in office until 2036. That gives Putin time, Parmen
Posokhov says; but another amendment, opening the way to the establishment of
federal territories, points to how he plans to use.
That amendment, which specifies that
in addition to or perhaps in the place of existing federal subjects, there will
be established “federal territories” whose structure and funcitons will be
defined by an as-yet unadopted law, the commentator says (трымава.рф/?p=33173, reposted at politobzor.net/218136-putin-zadumal-novuyu-oprichninu.html).
In principle, Posokhov says, these “federal
territories” will be “administered somewhat differently than the subjects of
the federation,” although exactly what these differences will be is not
specified but left open until the adoption of a federal law about them. But there are clues as to what may happen.
Given Putin’s stress on “preserving
national traditions,” it is not unreasonable to assume that he will “turn to
historical analogies.” And the most obvious one in this case is the oprichnik
system Ivan the Terrible introduced in 1565.
Under its terms, the tsar handed over to his loyalists people who
confiscated the lands of the boyars and terrorized them and the population.
“The federal territories could thus
become the Presidential oprichnina,” one in which those put in charge of these “federal
territories” would target the boyars of today, the oligarchs. Putin is certain to be aware of that
possibility and even be ready to use it. After all, even Stalin called Ivan “his
teacher.”
If this is the direction Putin plans
to go, then it is understandable why he is also so concerned about the beefing
up of the State Council. After all, “it will be necessary somehow to administer
these federal territories. And who may take the place of Malyuta Skuratov and
Boris Godunov are things we may soon find out.”
Russians should not forget that out
of this system came “a new tsar and de facto successor of Ivan the Terrible,
Boris Godunov.” And Putin may use his State Council to do the same and find an
ultimate successor to himself. Clearly, Putin’s plans are “grandiose, and the
era of changes will continue.”
As a result, Posokhov says, “the old
Chinese curse” – may you live in interesting times – will alas continue to operate”
in Russia.
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