Monday, May 25, 2026

Belarus Both Spies on Russia and Spies for Russia, BelPol Project Says

Paul Goble

            Staunton, May 24 – The Belarusian special services operating under diplomatic cover both spy on Russia at Minsk’s embassy and consulates in the Russian Federation and for Russia in Belarusian missions in other countries, according to a new BelPol investigation.

            The anti-Lukashenka group said that Belarusian spies are in Minsk’s diplomatic missions not only in EU and NATO countries but around the world, helping Moscow as this Belarusian assistance is not widely recognized (echofm.online/news/proekt-belpol-opublikoval-rassledovanie-o-predpolagagemoj-seti-belorusskih-speczsluzhb-pod-diplomaticheskim-prikrytiem).

            But BelPol found that “the largest concentration of Belarusian agents is found in Russia” where the total number of spies in the embassy and consulates “exceed those of any other Belarusian diplomatic post abroad, a reflection of the fact that “Luashenka does not fully trust Russia as an ally.”

Feminist Anti-War Resistance Documents Increasing Repression of Women in Russia

Paul Goble

            Staunton, May 25 – The Feminist Anti-War Resistance movement has been releasing annual reports on the impact of Putin’s war in Ukraine on the lives of Russian women at home. It has just released the latest for 2026, and its contents have been reported by the Important Stories portal, which also talked to some of the report’s compilers who spoke on condition of anonymity.

            Among the report’s key findings (istories.media/stories/2026/05/25/kak-izmenilos-polozhenie-zhenshchin-v-rossii-vo-vremya-voini/), all of which confirm the increasingly negative situation Russian women currently find themselves in because of Putin’s war are the following:

·       The Russian authorities, working closely with the Russian Orthodox Church and nationalist groups like the Russian Community, are making it ever more difficult to get an abortion in many parts of the country and sparking a rise in abortion tourism for those who can afford it.

·       New school textbooks and programs have eliminated discussions of the possible futures of Russian women to only two things: the mother of children and patriots who join the military to defend their country. All other careers are now discussed as if they are for men only.

·       The disproportionate rates of mobilization and mortality in Russia’s ethnic republics and remote regions are forcing women in those places to “shoulder tasks that in traditional communities are historically considered men’s work.

·       The influence of informal associations like the Russian Community are “on the rise across the country. As a result, these groups have effectively taken on the functions of ‘a morality police and migration control bodies.” As a result, ethnically motivated attacks against women” have continued to rise.

·       “More than a thousand women have become victims of violent crimes committed by military personnel” over the last year. Often the perpetrators face no punishment and instead of going to prison return to the war zone.

·       And “over the course of 2025, the volume of calls regarding domestic violence to the All-Russian Helpline for Women surged by 40 percent,” and in more than 60 percent of cases where domestic violence actually reaches the courts, the perpetrator receive only minimal penalties such as a five of 5000 rubles (75 US dollars).”

All this means that the violence veterans and soldiers are committing now will continue and lead to an increasing spiral of attacks against Russian women in the future, this year’s FAR report says.

Tatarstan Brings Its Nationality Policy Strategy Document Closely into Line with Moscow’s

Paul Goble

               Staunton, May 19 – From the end of Gorbachev’s time until now, Tatarstan invariably adopted nationality strategy documents that focused on the republic and its titular nationality and were to a greater or lesser extent at odds with Moscow’s. Now that has changed, and Kazan has promulgated one that is now tightly aligned with Moscow’s.

            The republic’s new nationality policy strategy, which was signed off on by republic head Rustam Minnikhanov on May 16, was drafted by scholars and officials in Kazan; but there can be little doubt that they were under orders to come up with a new document echoing on all key issues the November 2025 all-Russian document of the same kind.

            On the one hand, it seems clear as well that many in Kazan will be unhappy with the new provisions and will work to oppose the policy implications of the new declaration; but on the other, these declarations common to the Moscow and Kazan documents likely point to some of the directions the Putin regime is likely to pursue in the coming months and years.

            That makes a new article in Kazan’s Business-Gazeta by two Tatarstan journalists, Anna Skryp and Ivan Skryabin, who compare the language of the republic and all-Russian strategy documents, important not only for their republic but for other republics and nationalities and also for Moscow as well (business-gazeta.ru/article/702544).

            They lead off with the following conclusion: “the republic’s strategy has been brought into alignment with the federal strategy adopted in November 2025, especially with regard to the equalization of Russian and Tatar languages as native, the challenges identified – neo-Nazism rather than religious extremism – and the creation of adaptation centers for migrants.

            Even more, the two write, “the primary objective of the strategy” Tatarstan has signed off on “is the preservation of the state unity and territorial integrity of the Russian Federation, the bolstering of internal stability, and the formation of a pan-Russian civic identity” rather than any ethno-national one.

            Among the other changes the new coordinated Tatarstan nationality policy strategy document makes from its predecessors are the following:

·       The new document makes no reference to the task of safeguarding the constitutional rights and freedoms of citizens whereas the previous Tatarstan one did.

·       The new document specifies that it is a priority to strengthen the unity and territorial integrity of the Russian Federation, something the previous strategy document did not.

·       The new document makes no reference to a central plank of the earlier one, “strengthening Tatarstan as the historically established form of the Tatar people's statehood."

·       The new document refers to both Russian and Tatar as native languages, something the earlier version did not.

·       The new document specifies that Kazan must seek to “ensure the use” of Russian but makes no similar demand as far as Tatar is concerned. The earlier version spoke only of Tatar in this regard.

·       Throughout, the new program speaks about “risks” rather than “problems” and specifies that these come from abroad. The older program did not do either.

·       And the new version speaks of the ethnic Russians as “a state-forming people,” something the earlier Tatarstan version did not.

Sunday, May 24, 2026

Lukashenka has Repressed at Least 500,000 Belarusians Since 2020, Activists Say

Paul Goble

            Staunton, May 22 – “The number of politically motivated criminal  cases [in Belarus] exceeds the number of those freed or serving time behind bars,” Vladimir Zhigar says in a new report which shows that since 2020, the Belarusian dictator Alyaksandr Lukashenk has actively repressed 500,000 of his country’s citizens, not the few thousand many speak of.

            Zhigar, who represents the organization of former force structure employees who now cooperate with the BelPol opposition, made these remarks at a congress concerning such people at a conference in Vilnius (rfi.fr/ru/европа/20260522-belpol-с-мая-2020-года-в-беларуси-репрессировано-полмиллиона-человек).

            There, he presented a report BelPol has compiled about repression in Belarus since 2020. According to him, at least a half million Belarusians have been subject to repressive actions by the state, a figure that his group has compiled because Lukashenka stopped publishing data on this issue two years ago.

            This figure includes both those who Belsians who have been harassed without being arrested, others against whom charges have been brought and who have been imprisoned for various lengths of time, and a third group consisting of those who have subjected to harassment and various restrictions after they are released, according to the report.

            As large as the figure of 500,000 is, BelPol continues, the true dimensions of repression in Belarus are much larger if one includes the families and friends of those subject to repression in the narrow sense and all Belarusians who suffer from Lukashenka’s authoritarian policies. 

            Other speakers at the Vilnius conference, including Belarusian Nobelist Ales Ales Bialiatski, agreed and said that Lukashenka’s continuing campaign against the population is designed to intimidate all Belarusians to keep quiet and to force those who can’t to leave the country and not return.

Grozny's ‘Embassy’ in Kazan Quite Active but Typically Below the Radar Screen

Paul Goble

            Staunton, May 21 – At the dawn of Soviet times, regions and republics routinely set up representative offices in Moscow and also in other regions with whom they had lots of business to compensate for the lack of adequate communication. While many were eliminated later, some continue to work to this day.

            The permanent representations of the union republics became the basis for the formation of embassies when these countries became independent, with the embassies often located in the same buildings and consisting of the same people as the permanent representations had had earlier.

            Some non-Russian republics and predominantly ethnic Russian oblasts and krays also set up offices not only in the Russian capital but also in their counterparts elsewhere in Russia or even abroad. Most have shut down since 1991, but some remain and a few new ones have opened -- although they seldom get much attention, despite being “proto-embassies” as it were.

            (For background, see windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2019/01/non-russian-republic-embassies-in.html, windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2022/10/embassies-of-non-russian-republics.html, windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2024/08/apparently-on-moscows-order-functions.html and the sources cited therein.)

            To avoid making Moscow suspicious that they have some nefarious purpose, these representative offices generally operate below the radar screen and seldom call attention to themselves by talking about what they do. That makes a new article about the Chechen office in Tatarstan especially important (tatar-inform.ru/news/predstavitel-glavy-cecni-v-tatarstane-eli-kagarbekov-k-nam-obrashhayutsya-po-vsem-voprosam-my-otkryty-6024738).

            In it, Eli Kagarbekov, head of Grozny’s office in Kazan which opened in July 2024 and himself a native of Tatarstan and local businessman, says that he and his team “deal with a very large spectrum of issues beginning from simple questions ones and ending with economic and even political ones.

            The Chechen office in Kazan is particularly interested in assisting and promoting business cooperation between the two republics, he says, pointing to plans for a large Chechen business mission to Tatarstan in the hopes of expanding ties among the major firms of the two republics, Kagarebekov continues. Earlier this year, a smaller delegation already came.

            There are approximately 1200 Tatars in Chechnya and 1,000 Chechens in Tatarstan, the permanent representative says; and one of his most important tasks is to help each develop and to expand ties between the two in all aspects of life, including tourism, although that became more difficult when direct air connections between Kazan and Grozny were suspended not long ago.

            Perhaps the most intriguing comment Kagarbekov made was his statement that other north Caucasians living in or visiting Tatarstan often turn to  him for assistance because their own republics do not yet have similar permanent representations and they can count on the Chechen one to help.

Putin’s Rewriting of History All About Shifting Responsibility for Past Crimes Away from the State, Shor-Tchudnovskaya Says

Paul Goble

            Staunton, May 22 – Putin’s rewriting of history all about shifting responsibility for past crimes away from the state, Anna Shor-Tchudnovskaya says; and it is succeeding because even many of that state’s victims are more than willing to accept the idea that the Russian state is innocent even as far as their suffering is concerned.

            The Russian sociologist who now works at Vienna’s Sigmund Freud University, says this pattern shows how “naïve” many Russians and others have ben in thinking that Russia “was just a step away from ‘a normal society’” (sapere.online/vsem-kazalos-chto-my-v-shage-ot-normalnogo-obshhestva-eta-naivnost-sygrala-zluyu-shutku/).

            While much has been written about the new Russian law concerning “the genocide of the Soviet people,” some aspects of it and especially “several other intriguing amendments that were quietly introduced alongside it,” the sociologist says, “slipped in amidst the general commotion” but in fact prove at least as significant.

            “For instance,” she says, “the concept of state policy for perpetuating the memory of victims of political repression,” a document that has been in place for a decade, was “completely rewritten” and effectively replaced “one group of victims” with another, and eliminated any suggestions that the Russian state was to blame.

            According to Shor-Tchudnovskaya, “this was done with a very specific objective in mind: to ensure the very notion of an "internal" genocide—a genocide perpetrated against one's own people—would never even cross anyone's mind.” The document’s provisions about perpetuating memory and the mass nature of these repressions were dropped.

            Moreover, in the new edition, “working regarding the necessity of ‘condemning the ideology of political terror” was also deleted; and replaced by d references to the Soviet period have by talk about “the achievements of the Russian state,” with emphasis placed “toward highlighting just how excellent our state is.”

            All this has been done, the sociologist suggests, in order to shift attention away from domestic problems to “the victims of ‘an externally organized genocide’” and to “rehabilitate the state” in the eyes of the population.

            “One potential consequence of this shift,” she continues, “is that resistance movements in the occupied territories following World War II could come to be perceived as ‘resistance to denazification.’  That has not happened yet, but such an interpretation remains entirely plausible.”

            But more generally, Shor-Tchudnovskaya says, in the new version of the document, “particular pride is placed upon the role of the state—a state which, if it ever did anything wrong, was merely experiencing ‘tragic chapters’ which means that “no one bears the blame for it; it is simply how fate unfolded, or how higher powers intervened.”

            Unfortunately, many Russians, even many who themselves or whose relatives were the victims of Soviet crimes are all too willing to accept this approach, something that sets them apart from the way Germans who suffered under the Nazis view their situation and condemn the Nazi state as a whole.

            Russians, the sociologist says, overwhelmingly want people to acknowledge that their mistreatment was “unjustified” but “a random error” and that they see no need to condemn the state for what happened. Blaming the powers that be, some of them have told Memorial, “is unnecessary and goes too far.”

Saturday, May 23, 2026

Russia has Been Very Slow to Publicize Location of Bomb Shelters

Paul Goble

            Staunton, May 22 – Since Putin launched his expanded war in Ukraine in February 2022 and even since Ukraine began to attack Russian cities with drones, only 25 federal subjects of the Russian Federation have released information about the location of bomb shelters – and independent analysts say two-thirds of those identified are in poor condition.

            According to Novaya Gazeta Europe, three regions released information on the location of bomb shelters in 2022, five more did so in 2023, five in 2024, three in 2025, and seven so far this year (/novayagazeta.eu/articles/2026/05/22/za-chetyre-goda-voiny-tolko-25-regionov-rossii-raskryli-adresa-bomboubezhishch-podschitala-novaia-evropa-news).

            Elsewhere, information about where bomb shelters are located remains classified, even though Ukrainian drones have reached far more federal subjects than the 25 that have identified where such facilities are located but at least in part because at least two-thirds of the shelters are unfit for use.

            In June of last year, Moscow said that a map of all shelters would be posted on the State Services portal by December 2025; but that hasn’t happened; and many Russians not surprisingly are outraged by this all-too-obvious evidence that the powers that be in the Putin regime don’t care nearly as much about the population’s safety as they routinely claim to be.