Tuesday, February 24, 2026

Russia’s Forestry Industry has Collapsed, Driving Down Incomes and Wrecking Regional Budgets East of the Urals

Paul Goble

            Staunton, Feb. 23 – In 2025, Russia’s forestry industry “collapsed to a ten-year low,” erasing the gains of earlier years, simultaneously driving down incomes and wrecking the budgets of the governments of federal subjects east of the Urals, according to Russian government figures reported by the Voice of the Regions portal.

            Russian production in this sector fell to 176 million cubic meters, far below the 200 cubic meter mark that the authorities had assumed was the baseline. Indeed, the situation has become so dire that the portal entitles its report about this collapse “Taiga on the Brink” (regionvoice.ru/tayga-na-grani-lesnaya-otrasl-rossii-lesozagotovka/).

            The forestry industry is not just about harvesting trees. It is an enormous system involving everything from cutting down forests to processing the wood and moving it to both domestic and foreign customers. But, according to Voice of the Regions, “when demand falls, tensions arise at every stage.”

            The decline in foreign demand has not been compensated for by a rise in domestic demand, the portal says; and prices continue to rise for fuel, equipment, and infrastructure maintenance. As a result, incomes are falling and jobs disappearing all along this pathway. And regions where it is a dominant force are losing tax revenue and having to retrench. 

            If the current trends continue, not only will the forestry industry face more than “the temporary downturn” Moscow likes to talk about, but it and all who depend on it will have to adjust to “a more profound transformation of the development model” Russia’s forestry industry has long thought it could rely on. 

Bomb Lenin Laid Under Russian Nation ‘Continues to Tick’ and Could Explode at a Most Inopportune Time, Khramov Says

Paul Goble

            Staunton, Feb. 4 – Russians must recognize that the bomb Lenin laid under the Russian nation “continues to tick” and could go off at some point if they do not take additional steps to overcome his legacy by eliminating the non-Russian republics and changing the national narrative they currently employ, Aleksandr Khramov says.

            The Moscow paleontologist and Russian nationalist argues that Lenin hated the Russian nation just as much as he hated capitalism and that he did everything he could to undermine the interests of the Russians and prevent them from forming their own nation state (apn.ru/index.php?newsid=49234).

            Indeed, Khramov continues, the main goal of the Bolshevik leader was to ensure that the Russians would never have their own “national home” but instead would “be consumed in the furnace of world revolution.” And he adds that Russian leaders have been fighting to overcome that legacy ever since, but there is a long way to go.

            That task must be completed, the commentator says, because “the bomb of national republics planted under Russia by Lenin has not yet been completely defused and continues to tick, biding its time” for when problems in the country as a whole will reach the point that such explosions will do the most harm.

The Yellow Wedge in the Volga Region: Where Ukrainians Identify as Khokhols and Must Ally with Other Non-Russians against Moscow

Paul Goble

            Staunton, Feb. 23 -- The places in what is now the Russian Federation where Ukrainians resettled at the end of imperial times are referred to as “wedges” (kliny). The largest and most famous of these are in the Far East (“the green wedge”) and in the Kuban (“the almond wedge”). But those are far from the only such wedges of this kind scattered across Russia.

(For more on the wedge issue in general, see jamestown.org/program/kyiv-raises-stakes-by-expanding-appeals-to-ukrainian-wedges-inside-russia/, jamestown.org/program/kremlin-worried-about-ukrainian-wedges-inside-russia/  and windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2016/06/a-real-wedge-issue-ukrainian-regions-in.html and especially the sources cited therein.)

            Russian officials typically argue that these regions are fully integrated and that those who were Ukrainian in the past have assimilated, but sometimes these officials express fears that Kyiv will succeed in exploiting these communities against Moscow, comments that suggest that even Moscow doesn’t fully believe its own claims.

            But lest these claims be challenged, Russian officials have done what they can to restrict investigations and reports about the wedges. And thus any reporting about them is precious, especially when it concerns wedges other than the green in the Far East and the almost in the Kuban which remain far better on.

            Among the wedges which have suffered from the least coverage are the Blue Wedge which is located in Omsk Oblast just north of the Russian border with Kazakhstan (windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2024/07/a-rare-report-from-blue-wedge-ukrainian.html) and even more the Yellow (Zhovty klin) in the Volga valley.  

            But two articles by Ukrainian historian Borys Hunko (abn.org.ua/en/history/yellow-klyn-ukrainian-volga-region-the-history-of-the-struggle-for-freedom-and-language/ and abn.org.ua/en/history/yellow-klyn-ukrainian-volga-region-the-history-of-the-struggle-for-freedom-and-language/) provide details on a community few know about.

            The first describes the way in which this Ukrainian wedge came into existence and traces the rise of a Ukrainian national movement there in the 1920s and then again in the 1990s and the way in which Moscow suppressed that movement and sought to ensure that the Yellow Wedge would cease to exist as an organized structure. It is almost elegiac in tone.

            The second, however, describes the nature of identity among the population, an identity far more complicated than Moscow or many Ukrainians elsewhere suspect, and outlines the steps the residents of the Yellow Wedge need to take in alliance with other ethnic groups in that region to defeat Muscovite imperialism and thus have a chance for a better future.

            According to Hunko, Volga Ukrainians “clearly recognize their difference from the dominant ethnos, ‘the Muscovites’ but at the same time do not always identify themselves with Ukrainians in the general national sense of the word.” Instead, they “define themselves as ‘neither Russian nor Ukrainian.’”

            And that in turn means that “the term ‘khokhol,’ which in imperial discourse often has a pejorative meaning, within the community itself is devoid of negative meaning” and for many and on many occasions viewed positively, even though it is fragmented village by village with each seeing its identity as local rather than national.

            The appearance of an identity based on the survival of a home language and home practices was “not an internal ‘choice’ of the community but rather the direct result of Moscow’s colonial policy aimed at severing Ukrainians from their own historical and cultural roots” even as it did not immediately join them completely to the Russian nation.

            Because they are small in number and generally a minority in local populations, the Yellow Wedge “cannot act as an independent force,” he argues. Instead, “their path lies through an alliance with those forces which strive for the complete dismantling of the imperial system,” with Tatars, Chuvash, and others including regional Russians who want the same thing.

Sunday, February 22, 2026

More than 30 of Russia’s Federal Subjects have Restored Sobering Up Centers

Paul Goble

            Staunton, Feb. 20 – Moscow oblast has decided to open sobering up stations to deal with the rising tide of drunkenness in that region, bringing to almost a third the number of federal subjects which have done so since the Russian government opened the way for such stations in 2021 after banning this longtime feature of Soviet and Russian life in 2011.

            Moscow Oblast will not build new facilities, however. Instead, it will establish sobering up sections in the region’s hospitals and man them with doctors and nurses already on staff rather than hiring anyone new (kommersant.ru/doc/8443564 and ru.themoscowtimes.com/2026/02/20/v-podmoskove-vozrodyat-vitrezviteli-a187770).

            The Russian government earlier dispensed with such centers because it claimed that Moscow had made so much progress in fighting alcoholism and drunkenness, progress it argued was shown by official statistics showing declining consumption and less binge drinking of alcohol in Russia since the 1990s.

            The reopening of sobering up stations, independent Russian experts say, show that the Russian government’s claims are unwarranted and that the statistics it has offered as justification fail to capture the large share of the alcohol market, including unregistered and illegal production, that Russians are actually consuming in the same ways they did earlier. 

Moscow has Closed 22 Embassies and Consulates in Western Countries since 2022 but Opened Nine Embassies and Seven Consulates in Africa and Asia

Paul Goble

            Staunton, Feb. 11 – Since Putin launched his expanded war in Ukraine in 2022, Moscow has closed 22 embassies and consulates in Western countries at the demand of the governments of those countries and then in most cases shuttering Western diplomatic representations in the Russian Federation in response.

            But over the same period, the Russian foreign ministry says, Moscow has opened nine embassies and seven consulates in Africa and Asia. It has inaugurated embassies in Niger, Sierra Leone and South Sudan over the last 12 months and is slated to open such missions in the Gambia, Liberia, Togo and the Comoros Islands in the next (iz.ru/en/node/2040463).

            This turn to the east in diplomatic work means that in the West, Russian citizens often face difficulties in getting needed consular services and the Russian government is unable to use these missions for a variety of purposes while elsewhere, Moscow is gearing up both for more Russians needing consular assistance and for its embassies to ramp up Russian activities.

42 Percent of Well-Off Russians Live in Moscow, a City with Less than Ten Percent of that Country’s Populaiton, ‘To Be Precise’ Says

Paul Goble

            Staunton, Feb. 19 – Forty-two percent of Russians earning at least 276,000 rubles (3,000 US dollars) a month, the amount statisticians say forms the top one percent of earners in their country, live in Moscow, even though the city forms only about nine percent of the total Russian population, the To Be Precise portal says.

            At the same time, the investigative outlet continues, half of all the residents of the Russian Federation currently earn 45,000 rubles (600 US dollars) a month, a fifth of what those in the highest one percent who are concentrated in the Russian capital (tochno.st/materials/42-naibolee-obespecennyx-rossiian-moskvici).

            Moscow had always had more wealthy people than other regions, but over the last decade, its position first fell after the imposition of sanctions, declines in the price of oil and the devaluation of the ruble, but by 2024, the city had recovered its position – and for the first time, its share of Russia’s wealthiest exceeded the level that they had formed in 2013.

            However, To Be Precise says, if one considers the geographic distribution of Russians in the top ten percent of incomes, those making more than 119,000 rubles (1500 US dollars) a month, Moscow’s share of that group is only 23 percent, an indication that Russians in this category are more widely distributed. 

Putin’s War Leaving Russia with Several Hundred Thousand Russians Morally Debased, Threatening the Country for Decades Ahead, Pastukhov Says

Paul Goble

            Staunton, Feb. 20 – Horrific reports about how a Russian general shared with his wife pictures of the ears of Ukrainian prisoners his men had cut off have led Vladimir Pastukhov to conclude that Putin’s war in Ukraine is leaving Russia with several hundred thousand morally debased people who can’t be easily cured and who will be a threat for decades.

            The London-based Russian commentator says that Russia is at risk of “ending up with several hundred thousand people as a result of this war, not just morally depraved or corrupted by bloodshed and murder but clinically incurable and irreversibly ill” (t.me/v_pastukhov/1827 reposted at echofm.online/opinions/v-konechnom-schete-vyyasnitsya-chto-odinakovo-bolny-i-voevavshie-i-ne-voevavshie).

            Such people, Pastukhov continues, “will pose a colossal threat” to the country, corroding all constructive social ties and relationships from family to political life, affecting public health in a way comparable to the impact of Novichok on the health of an individual. That is, they will block the transmission of social signals across all communication channels.”

            The Putin regime acts as if they can be brought back into society without any negative consequences because of its adaptation programs, but that is not the case. These people will continue to live and have an impact on society for decades until their deaths and after that because of the impact they will have on others who didn’t take part in the war.

            Of course, Pastukhov concedes, it is “naïve” to think that this is a consequence of Putin’s war alone. Its links to the events of the 1990s is “obvious.” But “it’s just that all the violence that presented itself as the norm in the first and second Chechen campaigns and before that in Afghanistan has been scaled up tens and hundreds of times in the current war.”

            And he concludes: “It took almost 40 years to bring society to this state, and it will take no less time to get society out of it.”