Paul
Goble
Staunton, September 2 – If the
Kremlin wants to restore the empire, it must come up with a broader program
than support for “the Russian world,” Moscow sociologist Aleksandr Filippov
says, because many of the places it would like to draw into a single state do
not naturally fit into an ethnic Russian state.
And unless it can come up with
something broader and grander than a project based on some common culture, the
co-author of a new book, Centers and Peripheries of the Post-Soviet Space
(in Russian, Moscow, 2020), argues that the chances for restoring the empire
are “not very great (vz.ru/politics/2020/9/2/1057502.html).
“The USSR,” Filippov points out, “was
not the Russian world but rather an alternative version of modernity or
globalization which suffered defeat.”
That is not necessarily the end of the story: an empire can be reconstituted.
But it can only be if the center offers the periphery something more than
cultural or linguistic ties.
Those in Moscow who think such
things are enough are making a mistake. Culture and language can be unifying,
but they will not be enough to overcome other factors, economic, social and
political, and especially the attraction some in the former periphery mail feel
to other centers of power in the world, such as Europe, China or the West more
generally.
In brief, “a community of culture
does not automatically produce solidarity.” Instead, “inequality, injustice,
corruption, and arbitrariness may prove stronger factors influencing the behavior
of people than the community of culture,” the scholar says. People may identify with a culture but not
feel any need to be part of a state offering that alone.
According to Filippov, the former
Soviet space only appears similar to the one that existed up to 1991. There
have been fundamental and irreversible changes; and anyone who wants to
reassemble that empire must take those into account and adopt “other
organizational principles.”
That hasn’t happened, he says, and “therefore
the chances for the restoration of the empire do not seem to me high.” That
doesn’t mean that a new empire can’t be built in place of the old one, but it
can’t be built on a foundation that provides fewer reasons for inclusion and
pride than the earlier one did.
Filippov concludes by saying that he
“does not consider the demise of the USSR the greatest catastrophe of the past
century,” thus putting himself at odds with Vladimir Putin in yet another
way. Far more significant as
catastrophes during that 100-year period were “the two world wars with their
horrific number of victims.”
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