Paul
Goble
Staunton, November 1 – By calling
for the drafting of a new law defining “the civic Russian nation” but failing
to specify what that law should contain, Vladimir Putin has opened a Pandora’s
box for himself and for the Russian Federation which in the end is likely to
mean that even hope, unlike in the Greek heroine’s case, won’t be left.
That is because Putin’s words are
certain to spark a countrywide discussion on a far broader set of issues than
he will like and thus raise questions that neither he nor anyone else can
answer except by engaging in even more repressive actions, a step that may
trigger a new round of debate and action rather than quieting things down.
Among the issues that have already
been touched upon in the first two days since Putin made his remarks are the
following:
·
How
does a civic Russian nation differ from an ethnic Russian one? Does the first
supplant the latter or just the reverse?
·
How
is this new Putin-era “Russian nation” different from the Soviet people of
Soviet times? If it is similarly an ideological construction, is what Putin is
talking about “a Putin nation” rather than a Russian one?
·
Is
this in fact an indirect attack on the ethnic Russian nation and its
traditions? Does it gut the role of Orthodoxy? Or does it elevate it?
·
Or
is this an attack on all non-Russians? Should they conclude that they have no
future in a Russian Federation in its current borders?
·
Are
the non-Russians supposed to simply assimilate into this new entity or will
they be able to retain their distinctive features, including separate republics
and/or national cultural autonomies?
·
Are
ethnic Russians living outside the borders of the Russian Federation part of
the new construction?
(For examples of these questions being raised, see ej.ru/?a=note&id=30354,business-gazeta.ru/article/327199,
iarex.ru/articles/53211.html
apn.ru/index.php?newsid=35641,
polit.ru/article/2016/11/01/nation/,
regnum.ru/news/polit/2199832.html , regnum.ru/news/polit/2200148.html
forum-msk.org/material/news/12426641.html,
newsru.com/russia/31oct2016/migranti.html,
themoscowtimes.com/news/putin-wants-new-legislation-to-clarify-the-russian-nation-
55952, medialeaks.ru/3110mms-rus-otmenyaetsya-nikto-ne-ponyal-chto-putin-imeet-v-vidu-pod-zakonom-o-rossiyskoy-natsii,
rosbalt.ru/russia/2016/10/31/1563497.html
and kasparov.ru/material.php?id=58183DC6082EE).)
Had Putin proposed a law, it might have
angered some while garnering support from others. But by suggesting that the new law should
emerge from an all-Russian discussion, he has invited people to ask these and other
questions, the answers to which strike at the base of his support and of the
country as a whole.
What is truly surprising is that Putin
doesn’t appear to understand that ethnic Russian activism brought down the
Soviet Union and could bring down him because ultimately the fate of that country
is, as I.A. Kurganov pointed out more than 60 years ago, in the hands of the
Russians and their reaction to the non-Russians rather than the other way
around.
And by this incautious playing to the rise
of Russian nationalism, Putin, like Mikhail Gorbachev and Nicholas II before
him, may contribute to the decline and even demise of the Russian state. That
is something Stalin understood very well indeed. It is odd that his pupil lacks
that understanding.
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