Sunday, November 11, 2018

Russians’ New Focus on Politics May Not Last Until Next Elections, Neyzhmakov Says


Paul Goble

            Staunton, November 11 – There is no question that Russians today are telling pollsters that they more interested in politics and democracy than they were a year ago, Mikhail Neyzhmakov says; but their declarations on this point may not have the meaning many commentators are ascribing to this trend.

            Indeed, these figures may have a very different meaning and hence a very different impact on the Russian political system.  On the one hand, the specialist at the Moscow Agency for Political and Economic Communications says, Russians may be confusing democracy and their personal well-being (realtribune.ru/news/authority/1260).

                And on the other, sociological research shows that this uptick in interest in social-political life may not be long-lasting. Indeed, it may not be as high as it is now by the 2019 or 2021 elections. The situation by either date could change dramatically with Russians disappointed in their efforts to affect outcomes and pulling back. 

            One should always remember, Neyzhmakov continues, “that interest in domestic and sharp social issues does not always automatically translate into a growth of participation in elections.”  That may be precisely what the Kremlin is counting on, given its slippage in the polls.

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