Paul Goble
Staunton,
November 11 – There is no question that Russians today are telling pollsters
that they more interested in politics and democracy than they were a year ago,
Mikhail Neyzhmakov says; but their declarations on this point may not have the meaning
many commentators are ascribing to this trend.
Indeed,
these figures may have a very different meaning and hence a very different
impact on the Russian political system.
On the one hand, the specialist at the Moscow Agency for Political and
Economic Communications says, Russians may be confusing democracy and their
personal well-being (realtribune.ru/news/authority/1260).
And
on the other, sociological research shows that this uptick in interest in social-political
life may not be long-lasting. Indeed, it may not be as high as it is now by the
2019 or 2021 elections. The situation by either date could change dramatically
with Russians disappointed in their efforts to affect outcomes and pulling
back.
One
should always remember, Neyzhmakov continues, “that interest in domestic and sharp
social issues does not always automatically translate into a growth of
participation in elections.” That may be
precisely what the Kremlin is counting on, given its slippage in the polls.
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