Staunton, October 2 – Valery Solovey, the former MGIMO professor and current Moscow commentator, says there are seven reasons why the Kremlin almost certainly believes that its policy toward Ukraine is close to achieving strategic success now that Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky has signed off on the Steinmeyer provisions.
But far from all members of the Ukrainian elite or Ukrainian population are prepared to roll over and accept this new deal, one that many of them believe is not a compromise but a capitulation. Consequently, despite the accord’s closeness to Putin’s desires, it is possible that it will never be fully implemented, at least in all the ways the Kremlin wants.
Many people are writing about the Ukrainian acceptance of Steinmeyer today. Solovey provides perhaps the most succinct list of reasons why it cannot be described other than a triumph for Moscow and a defeat for Kyiv, one that even if not completely fulfilled, will have a negative impact on the future (echo.msk.ru/blog/vsolovej/2511983-echo/
Solovey’s argument is compelling but not everyone in Ukraine or elsewhere is going to accept it without a struggle. A new poll of Ukrainians finds only 18 percent of them support the Steinmeyer formula, while 23 percent are opposed, and the rest – 59 percent – haven’t yet taken a position (ratinggroup.ua/ru/research/ukraine/otnoshenie_ukraincev_k_resheniyu_voprosa_okkupirovannyh_territoriy.html).