Tuesday, October 8, 2019

Ukrainian Opposition to Capitulation Not Limited to Kyiv

Paul Goble

            Staunton, October 6 – While the protest in Kyiv not unexpectedly attracted the most attention, the fact that Ukrainians came out in more than 30 cities across their country may be more important. On the one hand, and in sharp contrast to Russian protests, it shows that protests in Ukraine can “go national” very fast.

            And on the other, it suggests that as Ukrainians face up to what Vladimir Zelensky has agreed to in the Steinmeier plan, the share of opponents to that plan has risen from just over a quarter of the population to a far larger share (atr.ua/news/191920-v-bolee-cem-30-gorodah-ukrainy-prohodit-akcia-ostanovim-kapitulaciu and facebook.com/ProtectUkraine/posts/436614400542002).

            That doesn’t mean that Zelensky will reverse course or that there will be a Maidan that brings to power a government that will do so.  But it does mean that he, others in Kyiv, and even more others in the West who assumed that Steinmeier is the end and that they can now look away from the Ukrainian tragedy and resume “business as usual” with Russia may be disabused.

            The struggle against resurgent Russian imperialism will continue. At the very least, the Ukrainian protesters are going to call out those who have fallen into the trap of assuming they can trust Moscow, actions that will also likely be denounced by those who say “give peace a chance.”

            They may not win in this round: the situation and the powers arrayed against them are probably too strong. (For a frank but pessimistic assessment, see kyivpost.com/article/opinion/op-ed/illia-ponomarenko-ukraine-could-have-prevailed-in-donbas-but-now-were-doomed-to-unjust-peace-with-russia.html.)

            But the protesters too are part of a new reality, one that points in a very different direction over the longer term, a time frame neither Zelensky nor most of the politicians now in office appear to be giving much thought to. They should because their “victories” now are likely to prove as hollow and shortlived as others achieved in the same way in the past have been. 

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