Paul Goble
Staunton,
November 26 – If Moscow replaces the existing ethno-territorial division of the
Russian Federation with one based on larger and economically more powerful
regions, the potential for “oblast separatism” of the kind seen in the early
1990s will once again become “much higher,” according to a Bashkir analyst.
In
an interview given to “Ekspert-Ural” last week, Azat Berdin, a researcher at
the Ufa Institute of Humanitarian Research and chief editor of “Panorama
Evrazii,” argues that the non-Russian republics have always served as a
“restraint” on the larger territorial-industrial regions” of the country (http://www.expert-ural.com/1-576-11812/).
Abolishing
them as Aleksandr Prokhorov has proposed is thus not only “naïve” but extremely
dangerous, Berdin contines, all the more so because “the decline in the
legitimacy of [Moscow] above all is occurring, sociologists say, precisely
among the Russian-language population and especially that of the major cities.”
The
Ufa researcher said that the only thing good about Prokhorov’s idea is that it
“finally dispels all the strange illusions” in the republics about liberalism’s
plans for the non-Russians, because proposing to abolish their republics is “a
completely logical extension of the policies of perestroika which destroyed a
great country having given birth to the oligarchy.”
According to Berdin, the Kremlin had
two reasons for promoting Prokhorov’s “demarche.” On the one hand, this was a
way of launching “a trial balloon on a risking topic.” Earlier the Kremlin used
Vladimir Zhirinovsky for such things, but because of the latter’s “grotesque
image,” the powers that be no longer employ him for that.
And
on the other, Prokhorov’s pronouncement represents yet another attempt to
create “a liberal wing, ‘a rightist party,’ which a cerain part of the
population would accept.”
The Kremlin,
Berdin continues, very much wants such a party and even “sympathizes with
liberal ideas” despite what he suggests are the damage they have done to the
country. But the top leaaders understand that they cannot acknowledge this out
loud” because the population is overwhelmingly opposed to liberalism and its
fruits.
The only way to attract many to
liberalism, the Ufa researcher argues, is to advance it under the banner of
“radical” Russian nationalism, eve though this is “a risky step” and even the launch
of a discussion of this notion is “already provoking conflicts” across the
entire Russian Federation.
According
to Berdin, “the peoples of Russia have supported national-territorial autonomy
already over the course of 90 years,” with “the last time” being the support of
the referenda of the 1990s “when the overwhelming majority of the ‘titular
nationalities’ plus the majority of [ethnic] Russians voted ‘for’ sovereignty.”
Over
the last two decades, he continues, “such an extreme form of autonomy as
sovereignty has quietly been overthrown.”
But and this is the most important thing, “the form but not the autonomy
itself!” Eliminating autonomy “already
destroyed” the Russian Empire, forcing the regime to establish the country on
“a principly new basis.”
That
is what the Bolsheviks did by establishing “a hierarchy of autonomies – SSRs
and ASSRs where each people received a place corresponding to its
possibilities and the rights corresponding to these responsibilities. This
created a balance between the striving … toward independence and genuine
integration … thereby transforming the local patriotism into patriotism of
the entire country.”
Challenging this system by
proposing that Moscow should do away with it “splits society on the most
dangerous and poorly controlled part of national relations,” Berdin says. It
is “naïve” because it is well known that you cannot eliminate a nation “by
decree” and what happens “when a people exists but it lacks statehood even in
the form of autonomy.”
Thus, he argues, it is
“precisely ‘sovereignty’” which “blocks real separatism” because it “kills
radical nationalists in their cradles and does not permit the escalation of
anti-Russian atttiudes.” In Bashkortostan after 1991, the goveernment
“attempted to build a USSR in miniature, with ethno-national official
coloration in place of the soviet which had disappeared.”
This “flexible system of
national-territorial autonomies effectively tied together and ties now the
country over the course of the last 90 years and has not allowed the
repetition of the fate of the unitary Russian Empire in 1917 even in such
crises as [World War II] and the disintegration of the USSR.”
But if Russia is divided into
economically self-sufficient regions alone instead of national republics and
regions, that protection would disappear, Berdin suggests. In fact, “the
sovereignty of Yekaterinburg would mean the complete collapse of Russia! It
would mean that the [ethnic] Russians were being divided” and the
disintegration of the country would follow.
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