Paul Goble
Staunton, October 26 – Given
Circassian activism, Georgian recognition of the Circassian genocide in 1864,
and calls for “sabotage” of the Sochi Olympics, the Kremlin now views even “the
theoretical possibility of the creation of an ‘Adyg’ [Circassian] republic as a
direct threat to the territorial integrity of Russia,” according to a Lenta.ru
analyst
In a commentary published on
Thursday, Nikolay Kucherov says that Moscow is counting on the Karachays, who
now dominate Karachay-Cherkessia, to “play the role of a wedge driven between
the Adyg-Abkhaz peoples” that will “block the realization of the ‘Greater
Circassia’ project” (lenta.ru/articles/2013/10/23/krch/).
That explains why Moscow is so
supportive of projects like “the ally of friendship of the peoples” in
Cherkessk, Kucherov says, and why the center is so frightened by the extent to
which young people there are, given high unemployment, corruption, and the lack
of prospects, increasingly receptive to “radical religious and nationalist
ideas.”
Moreover, that North Caucasus
republic is especially problematic because it was created as a bi-national one but
includes many more groups as well, and “the absence of a common identification,
in lace of the Soviet one, has cast doubts not only on the individual republic
but on the entire south of the Russian Federation.”
Karachayevo-Cherkessia has existed
only since 1957 when the Turkic Karachays were allowed to return to the North
Caucasus from their Central Asian exile.
Prior to that time, there had been a Cherkess Autonomous Oblast and a
Karachay Autonomous oblast, but Khrushchev combined the two into a single
republic.
Intended to allow Moscow to serve as
the arbiter between the two titular nationalities and thus control the
situation, the central authorities have had to confront not only a rising tide
of ethno-nationalism among the ethnic communities but learn to live with a
system of rule in which the top positions must be allocated strictly according
to ethnicity.
Thus, after much controversy in the
early 1990s and the attempt to create four distinct republics in place of
Karachayevo-Cherkessia, a step Moscow refused to recognize, the Russian
government had to accept a regime in which the president is always a Karachay,
the head of government a Circassian, and so on. That has profoundly limited
Moscow’s freedom of action.
In addition to the titular nationalities,
there are compact settlements of Abazas Nogays, and Russians. The Karachays are
dominant, but other groups and especially the Circassians (Cherkess) and the closely
related Abaza “view this situation as threatening and regularly seek to
challenge Karachay ‘primacy,” Kucherov continues.
Sometimes this takes the form of
demonstrations and fights, but more often it occurs during elections and within
parliament. People in the republic tend
to vote for their co-ethnics, and it is no accident that the republic
parliament was “the first in Russia to demand” that the Duma make the denial of
genocides a criminal offense.
The republic government with Moscow’s
acquiescence and help has been able to keep things manageable for most of the last
decade, but increasingly, Cherkessk’s “friendship of the peoples” propaganda
has not been enough to compensate for economic problems, corruption, and weak
governance generally.
And that has meant both more
ethno-nationalism and religious extremism and severe limits on Moscow’s freedom
of action. The central government, for example, will not be able to build a
road between Cherkessk and Sukhumi because of “inter-ethnic tension” in KChR
and will build one between Cherkessk and Adler instead.
“The dividing up of a small communal
apartment into micro-apartments really looks to be the simplest and most
correct way out of the existing situation,” at least if one listens to the
Karachay and Circassian national elites.
But such a move or even the strengthening of Circassians in the KChR, “from
Moscow’s point of view,” looks “dangerous.”
“The Kabardinians from
Kabardino-Balkaria which is next to the KChR, the Adygs, the Cherkess, and the
Shapsugs are closely related ethnoses with the self-designator ‘Adyg,’ and
among their national movements is popular the assertion that they are a single
people,” the Circassians.
Moscow opposes such unity, Kucherov
says, and thus hopes that the Karachays will serve as its key ally. It thus
supports the Karachays, but because the Karachays know this, they often can
decide what happens, thereby exacerbating relations between the Karachays and
the Circassians and rendering this “wedge” less effective than the Kremlin
hopes.
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