Paul
Goble
Staunton, November 5 – Only a tiny fraction
of Russians took part in Russian Marches yesterday, and only a fraction of that
expressed a vicious hostility to all non-Russians. But the nature of the
holiday itself and the dramatic slogans and signs of the radicals set the tone
and have generated fears among non-Russians and some Russians about the future.
The November 4 holiday, as President
Vladimir Putin and Patriarch Kirill reminded everyone, marks the anniversary of
the expulsion of the Poles from Moscow, an archetypical anti-Western act. And
many who participated did so in ways that suggested the Russian March has
become a march against non-Russians (kasparov.ru/material.php?id=52777A8FB2555).
One Kazakh asked whether Russia is “the
country that defeated fascism or the country in which fascism has triumphed.” A
Buryat said in reaction to the Russian March that “racism in Russia has taken
on absurd forms.” And Kyrgyz demonstrators carried signs saying that “the Third
Rome is [Becoming] the Fourth Reich.”
(For surveys of these and other reactions
and of some of the statements and slogans that provoked them, see nr2.ru/asia/468625.html, facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=245667908924491,
facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=219435428214406&set=a.207646839393265.1073741833.103817093109574&type=1&theater,
4-november.livejournal.com/303914.html,
tatar-centr.blogspot.com/2013/11/blog-post_5510.html,
nazaccent.ru/content/9597-osobennosti-nacionalisticheskoj-akcii.html, tatar-bozqurd.livejournal.com/23103.html and echo.msk.ru/news/1191176-echo.html.)
Three things are noteworthy about
these exchanges. First, the anger that many
Russians taking part in the marches expressed seemed to be directed almost
equally at non-Russians who are citizens of the Russian Federation and at
non-Russians in the former Soviet space and at the West as well.
At the very least, that was how many
non-Russians in both places viewed it, and such a reaction suggests the
disintegrative role Russian nationalism played at the end of Soviet times is
now both further alienating Russia’s non-Russian neighbors and undermining the
territorial integrity of the Russian Federation itself.
Such attitudes will only add to
Moscow’s difficulties in dealing with both groups by depriving it of what
little remains of its soft power, the much-ballyhooed “friendship of the
peoples” left over from Soviet times. That loss in turn may lead the Kremlin to
try to get it way by force alone, something that could trigger even larger
disasters for Russia in the first instance.
Second, non-Russians were hardly
alone in being appalled by the Russian Marches and what they say about the
current state of Russia. Many Russians are
horrified by the open racism of some of their co-ethnics – see, for example,
the slogans of those who took part in the March Against Pogroms in St.
Petersburg (http://lenta.ru/news/2013/11/02/marsh/).
Others
expressed fears, in the words of the “Moscow Times,” that the Russian March has
become “a march toward ruin” (themoscowtimes.com/opinion/article/russias-march-toward-ruin/488924.html). And still others either voted with their feet
by not taking part or carried slogans of a very different time (dallol.ru/news-i409.html and islamnews.ru/news-142605.html).
If Russians who feel this way act on
it, both by denouncing the xenophobia of their co-ethnics and the complicity of
the Russian government in promoting or at least exploiting it, then this
November 4 holiday could become a positive turning point. But if they remain on
the sidelines as they have in the past, then the extremists will continue to
set the weather.
And third, both
those who oppose the xenophobic messages of the Russian March and those who
support them are seeking to build coalitions to promote their views. In Tomsk for example, the KPRF and Russian
nationalists came together to discuss how to oppose what the xenophobia
threatening their country (globalsib.com/18722/).
Many non-Russians in Tatarstan and
elsewhere talked about how to respond, and both non-Russians and ethnic
Russians came up with tactics designed to turn the Russian March on its head: A
Chuvash group celebrated unity day by recalling the Bulgar defenders of their
land against the Mongol advance 777 years ago (irekle.org/news/i1450.html).
And Russians in Chelyabinsk used the
day to call for getting rid of a more recent attack on the rights of the peoples
of Russia. Demonstrators there urged that Article 282 of the Russian Criminal
Code, the paragraph that punishes people thought guilty of “extremism” and
anti-state activities, be abolished (nakanune.ru/news/2013/11/4/22329975/).
Both during the run-up to the
Russian March and on the day it took place, it was easy to find articles and
blog posts offering apocalyptic visions of the future. (See, for example, kasparov.ru/material.php?id=5276B1C61EA3F.) Those may
prove true. Indeed, the vehemence of opinions expressed make them more likely
than not.
But the real message of Russia’s Day
of National Unity is this: Russia remains a deeply divided country, and instead
of trying to overcome those divides, the Kremlin and the Patriarchate are
deepening these splits, a strategy that promises no good whether Russia and the
former Soviet space disintegrate as seems likely or not.
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