Paul
Goble
Staunton, April 4 – One of the most
important trends in the south Caucasus over the last 25 years has been the
emergence of almost completely mono-ethnic states in that region. As a result
of refugee flows, Armenian occupation of parts of Azerbaijan, and the Russian
invasion of Georgia, these three countries are more mono-ethnic than at any
point in their histories.
That helps to explain the policies
of the three governments there and also those of their most important outside
supporters, Russia with regard to Armenia, Turkey with regard to Azerbaijan,
and the West with regard to Georgia. But
there are still important ethnic minorities in each of the three, and none is
more significant than the two million Talysh of Azerbaijan.
The Talysh are an Iranian-speaking
people who live in southeastern Azerbaijan and northwestern Iran, with an
estimated 1.5 to 2.5 million in the former country and at least one million in
the latter. The Azerbaijani authorities do not count them as a separate nation
lest such identification provoke separatism as it did in 1993 with the Mugdam
Republic.
(That contemporary attitude has its
roots in Soviet times. In the 1930s, Talysh began to be written in Cyrillic
rather than Persido-Arabic; and the Talysh were encouraged to say no more to
declare themselves to be Azerbaijanis rather than members of their own ethnic
community.)
In Iran, the Talysh suffer few
limitations linguistically or culturally. Most Talysh there and in Azerbaijan
are Shiites, although there are Naqshbqandia Sufis among them as well. However,
even the latter follow many of the traditions of the twelver Shiites of Iran
and consider Ali to be the only legal heir of the Prophet Muhammed.
Talysh activists in Iran and
Azerbaijan have continued to call for autonomy or even independence despite the
hostility to such appeals in both Baku and Tehran, but except in times of
serious trouble in those two countries, the Talysh movement has largely been
subsumed by larger social movements.
One might have expected Talysh
activism to increase with the start of a new round of fighting between
Azerbaijan and Armenia, either sponsored by outsiders or the result of Talysh
activists exploiting the situation. But in fact, Talysh activism has been on
the rise in Azerbaijan for some months, the result of economic problems there (nar.am/2016/v-azerbaydzhane-neozhidanno-nachalis-protestyi-c-trebovaniem-avtonomii-talyishistan/).
The
Azerbaijani authorities have treated the Talysh moves in recent weeks as being
the result of efforts by the Azerbaijani opposition or religious groups to
exploit the situation and have ignored the extent to which there is a genuinely
Talysh ethno-national movement behind at least some of them
Most
Azerbaijani analysts suggest that the Talysh movement is unlikely to take off
not only because of Azerbaijani official actions but also because of the
absence of genuine leaders. Those who had been in top positions in the early
1990s have either gone into emigration or been repressed.
Consequently,
it seems unlikely that the Talysh will make a play for autonomy or independence
even now; but they are one of the factors involved in the current crisis. And
if the war between Azerbaijan and Armenia expands, it seems likely that just as
in the difficult days of 1993, the Talysh may be heard from. At the very least,
their demands will have to be addressed.
No comments:
Post a Comment