Paul
Goble
Staunton, May 22 – More than any
other issue or event in their history, the non-Russian republics of the Russian
Federation are coming together to oppose draft legislation formalizing formalize
Vladimir Putin’s insistence that Russian be the only required language in
Russian schools with all others being treated as voluntary electives even in
non-Russian republics.
Given Putin’s promotion of this idea
and the support it has within his docile Duma and all other Moscow
institutions, it is unlikely that the non-Russians will succeed in blocking
this measure. But the experience of such cooperation in opposition to Moscow
may matter more on other issues where they may have a better chance to win.
And the Kremlin leader’s decision to
use language policy as his latest weapon against the non-Russians may thus
boomerang in potentially dangerous ways, not only reducing the possibilities Putin
will be able to use a divide-and-rule strategy to get his way but almost
certainly requiring him to adopt even more repressive measures.
Three developments in the last few
days point to such outcomes. First, the
republic parliaments of Kalmykia, Daghestan, and Kabardino-Balkaria have voted
to support the appeal of the Tatarstan State Council against the proposed legislation,
a remarkable display of inter-republic cooperation (kam.business-gazeta.ru/news/383076
and idelreal.org/a/29243556.html).
Second, Ilshat
Aminov, a member of Tatarstan’s State Council, says that ever more non-Russian
republics are considering a joint appeal to the Russian Constitutional Court
about the draft legislation arguing that such a measure would violate the rights
of the republics (tatar-inform.ru/news/2018/05/21/612218/
and nazaccent.ru/content/27286-nacionalnye-respubliki-mogut-obratitsya-v-konstitucionnyj.html).
And third, yesterday a Moscow
roundtable of opponents of the draft language law decided that their best
future course was to form a Democratic Congress of the Peoples of the Russian
Federation, a group that would represent the republics and their nations against
what Moscow wants to do (kommersant.ru/doc/3635986
and idelreal.org/a/29241605.html).
This last measure
is probably the least likely to have an impact on the vote in the Duma; but
over time, it may prove to be the most consequential for the fate of the
Russian Federation because it directly challenge what Moscow is doing in the name
of democracy rather than just nationality, thus joining together two forces
that played a key role in 1991 and could do so again.
No comments:
Post a Comment