Paul
Goble
Staunton, September 1 – Over the
last year, the Center for Social and Labor Rights says, Russians organized 482
environmental demonstrations, making that protest category second only to
gatherings about political and civil rights and sparking expectations that ecological
issues will form the next wave of protest activity (trudprava.ru/images/content/Monitoring_4_Quart_2019.pdf).
That is all the more so because in
some of these cases, the authorities have made concessions, giving participants
a sense of efficacy that they seldom have when protesting against other things,
Russian journalist Ivan Aleksandrov (a pseudonym) says (russian.eurasianet.org/россия-приведет-ли-экополитика-властей-к-росту-числа-протестов).
The political protests in Khabarovsk
have attracted more attention, but the environmental demonstrations in
Bashkortostan and the Kuzbass may be more important not only because participants
showed themselves willing to stand up to siloviki used by the powers that be
but also because the powers that be ultimately decided to make some concessions,
he says.
The authorities are clearly worried
that environmental conflicts will “intensify the nationality question” and thus
are seeking ways, especially in Bashkortostan but also in the Kuzbass, to defuse
this situation, Aleksandrov argues. But they face an uphill battle not only in
those two places but across the country.
According to Aleksandrov, “regionalist
and nationalist attitudes are awakening everywhere the local population is
forced to defend its land from major companies,” most of whom are viewed by the
people as outsiders backed by Moscow even more than by the republic or regional
elites (https://www.vedomosti.ru/opinion/columns/2019/04/10/798740-politizatsiya-regionalizatsiya-shiesizatsiya).
The companies involved often try to
sabotage any talks between the protesters and the local political authorities,
but that is backfiring because it emphasizes to both that they have a common
enemy, big businesses backed by Moscow who all too often ignore local interests
and even the law to get what they want.
That may make some regional
officials more willing to cooperate in the short term. More generally, it may
make them more disposed to see the protesters not as enemies but as potential
allies in their efforts to win greater powers for themselves, a pattern more
typical of environmental issues than of some others.
If the number of environmental
protests continues to grow, then at least in some cases, such alliances between
protesters and regional officials against business and Moscow may occur,
creating new problems for the center and new possibilities for regional
political and economic elites.
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