Staunton, December 9 – Armenia lacks the population to field a larger army and the money to purchase more modern arms, thus limiting its ability on its own to take revenge for its loss of the occupied territories in Azerbaijan, Zintis Znotins says. The only obvious way out is to join a union state with Russia.
But it is far from clear, the Latvian security analyst says, that Armenians would be willing to sacrifice their independence; and it is certain that were such a union to form, Tbilisi would likely step up its efforts to join NATO and that Baku would as well, something that should give Moscow and Yerevan pause (rusmonitor.com/gotov-li-putin-proglotit-armeniyu.html).
Armenia has discovered that its membership in the CIS and the Organization for the Collective Security Treaty has given it little in its conflict with Azerbaijan and that its more than 250 bi-lateral agreements with Russia have not made it into a genuine “strategic ally” (https://www.mfa.am/ru/bilateral-relations/ru ru.armeniasputnik.am/trend/russia-armenia-sotrudnichestvo/
That makes the comments of Pashinyan, not to speak of others, about the need for Armenia to broaden and deepen its military and security cooperation with Moscow intriguing. Given the current state of bilateral ties, Znotins says, what more could Armenia possibly seek and what more could Russia give?
In the wake of the fighting, Armenia doesn’t have more money to buy more arms from Russia, and it can’t transform a situation in which Azerbaijan not only has more money to buy weapons not only from Russia but from other countries as well but a far larger pool of men who can serve in its military (gazeta.ru/army/2020/09/28/13271497.shtml