Paul
Goble
Staunton, April 6 – Tajikistan is
being pressured to shut down the Islamic Rebirth Party, something that will
drive its members into the underground and make the Islamist threat there
greater; and Daghestani leaders want to adopt an earlier Tajik policy and call
home those from that republic now studying in Muslim schools abroad, something that
will have the same effect.
These are the latest examples of a
general pattern in which governments hoping to ward off an Islamist threat,
steps that they can count on gaining support from many major countries around
the world, are in fact doing things which will lead to exactly the opposite
result and make the Islamist threat in those republics far greater.
An article in Moscow’s “Nezavisimaya
gazeta” by Viktoriya Panfilova pulls no punches on the dangers ahead if Dushanbe
goes ahead with this idea. “If the authorities go ahead and ban the activity of
the party,” as some in Dushanbe are now urging, they “will find that the radical
underground” there will have gained new recruits (ng.ru/cis/2015-04-06/7_tajikistan.html).
Muslim leaders in Tajikistan, the
Moscow journalist says, have taken the lead in pushing for the closure of the party,
arguing that it politicizes their religion. But the idea is being pushed so
frequently and so broadly that it is likely that some in the government are
behind it, the journalist suggests.
The Islamic Rebirth Party has
approximately 45,000 members, but it has not done well in elections, garnering
less than five percent of the vote. Its leader, Muhiddin Kabiri, argues that
there is no basis for closing it down, and experts agree, Panfilova says, that
doing so would do more harm than good.
Rahmatillo Zoyirov, a Dushanbe legal
specialist agrees, and in his view, what is taking place is an effort by the authorities
to show the Islamic Rebirth Party its place in the system. He suggests that
what may happen is that the party will be required to rename itself, dropping
the reference to Islam.
However that may be, Aleksandr
Knyazev, a Russian specialist on Central Asia, says that the consequences of
closing the Islamic Rebirth Party would affect not only the domestic situation
in Tajikistan but have an impact on the region as a whole. By depriving Muslims
of the chance to legally achieve their ends, it would lead more of them to
choose illegal means.
The party, he says, “is a unique
political instrument. In essence, the creation of this party was an experiment
capable of becoming a matrix for other countries where the share of the Islamic
population and the possibility of activism” by radical religious groups are
both high.” It thus plays “the role of a kind of lightning rod.”
If it is closed, Knyazev says,
Islamist radicals will have gained “a convincing argument that it is impossible
to agree with the secular authorities and this means that the only remaining
path is armed jihad.” And because the party is small and not a political
threat, it should not be closed down.
Meanwhile, Interfax reports today,
Ramazan Abdulatipov, the head of Daghestan, is pushing for another move against
Islamism, one that Tajikistan has already tried with counterproductive
consequences. Abdulatipov wants to call
home young people who have studied abroad and retrain them (interfax-religion.ru/islam/?act=news&div=58400).
These people must be returned and
warned that they will not be allowed to practice as mullahs until they have
received “additional certification in religious educational institutions” in Daghestan.”
Only those judged most talented will be sent for advanced study at Muslim
institutions abroad.
Given that the MSD muftiate has no
authoritative basis in Islam, many of those who might return under this policy
almost certainly would ignore such requirements. When Tajikistan sought to get the 6,000 young
Tajiks studying abroad to return, many refused, and those who returned brought
back their radical views which they continued to proselytize.
Moreover, as Aznaur Adzhiyev, the Daghestani
press and information minister, told Interfax, “today the main place for the
distribution of extremist ideology is the Internet.” And there, as he did not say but as is
obvious from any examination of religious sites in the North Caucasus,
government officials have almost no influence at all.
No comments:
Post a Comment