Paul
Goble
Staunton, December 3 – That the
current crisis in relations between Russia and Turkey should affect Muslim
states in Eurasia and Muslims within the Russian Federation is no surprise, but
it may not have occurred to many that this conflict threatens to have negative
consequences for the Orthodox in both Russia and Ukraine.
That is because it has already
disrupted relations between the Moscow Patriarchate and the Universal
Patriarchate and casts doubt on whether the scheduled All-Orthodox Assembly
will take place in the spring in Constantinople or whether it might be shifted
to the Universal Patriarchate’s “reserve” base in Chambesy, Switzerland, or
even postponed altogether.
And these problems in relations
between the two patriarchates could have an impact on the possibility, long
sought by Ukrainian churchmen, that Bartholemew, the universal patriarch, might
bless the idea of Ukrainian Orthodox autocephaly in deference to Turkish
government interests and hostility to the pretensions of the Moscow
Patriarchate.
In an article in the new issue of “NG-Religii,”
Oksana Kotkina and Vladislav Maltsev point out that “the deterioration of
Russian-Turkish relations is putting a number of issues before the Russian
Orthodox church, first and foremost whether to take part in the All-Orthodox
Church Council in March 2016 (ng.ru/ng_religii/2015-12-02/1_conflict.html).
The church’s Office of External
Church Ties has said that Moscow Patriarch Kirill has not yet cancelled plans
to attend, but Metropolitan Ilarion, who heads that office, put off a planned
trip to Istanbul for negotiations with the Turkish government and presumably
the Universal Patriarch as well immediately after the Russian plane was shot
down.
Archdeacon Andrey Kurayev, an
independent Orthodox commentator, suggested that the Universal Patriarch could
easily move the meeting to Chambesy in Switzerland where he maintains offices
if the situation between Russia and Turkey deteriorates. He expressed “surprise”
that Ilarion had cancelled his visit.
According to Kurayev, the upcoming
meeting appears unlikely to take up and decide any major questions, although it
is possible that Bartholemew, who is ill, might use the occasion to make one or
another dramatic move, quite possibly on Ukrainian autocephaly or indeed on the
more general issue of “canonical territories.”
The archdeacon said that the only
obvious casualty from a cancellation would be Russian Orthodox pilgrimages to
Turkish religious sites. But that is not
a serious issue: “Pilgrimates are not a bad thing, but there is no necessity
for them. We aren’t Muslims, and Turkish holy places aren’t Mecca.”
Another Russian commentator, Boris
Knorre, a specialist on religious affairs at Moscow’s Higher School of
Economics, suggested that it was likely that the assembly would simply be
postponed, especially given the militant comments of some in the Moscow
hierarchy who have talked about the need for “a holy war” against Muslims and
Turkey.
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