Paul
Goble
Staunton, January 7 – Officially,
Vladimir Putin has been the target of 14 assassination attempts, Stanislav
Belkovsky says; unofficially, there have been dozens. But those who tried or
been accused of trying to kill the Kremlin leader have all without exception
either died during the investigation or “ended their lives and carrier in
psychiatric special hospitals.”
However, the most important
consequence of these attacks, the Russian commentator says, is their impact on
Putin’s paranoia and policies. After
what the Russian security services said was an assassination attempt at the time
of the Sochi Olympiad, Putin changed course toward the West (echo.msk.ru/programs/agent_provocateur/2123708-echo/).
That, combined with the failure of
Western leaders to attend the Olympiad and the victory of the Maidan in Ukraine,
Belkovsky says, led Putin to drop plans to seek improved relations with the
West he’d been considering and adopt the hard line that led to the Crimean Anschluss,
efforts at regime change in Montenegro, and Internet attacks on Western elections.
“One must say,” he continues, “that
in totalitarian societies and in countries with totalitarian regimes, an attack
[on the leader] is the only means of changing the powers that be if the attack
is successful.” And “in Russia, there
are no democratic institutions. Everything depends on one man.”
“If, God forbid and may God give him
health and many more years of life, something were to happen to [Putin], then
the regime would never be the same and the country would never be the same
either.” Understanding that, he says, explains why the regime “constantly and
hysterically is increasing the number of guards” to ensure “the security of the
Russian president.”
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