Paul Goble
Staunton,
November 2 – Rumors are flying (kommersant.ru/doc/3787780) that the Kremlin
in the future dispense with the November 4 Day of National Unity altogether or
shift it to March 18 where it would be combined with the Day of Crimea. Either
action would be appropriate, Sergey Shelin says, because at present, “there is
no unity” in Russia to celebrate.
The
Rosbalt commentator says that doing that
would be a “radically softened replacement of another project,” also rumored
but uncertain to be achieved, annexing Belarus or Kazakhstan or both, in order
to demonstrate the existence of Vladimir Putin’s much-ballyhooed “Russian world”
(rosbalt.ru/blogs/2018/11/02/1743885.html).
This year, the
November 4 holiday will be marked but “more modestly than in past years,
without marches, political meetings or a big show.” That in and of itself is a
sign that the powers that be have decided that “the Day of Unity has fallen out
of favor” and that it would be best to simply ignore it altogether.
The events of 1612
remain cloudy for most Russians, and November 7th, the holiday that
November 4th was created to displace, no longer has the allegiance
or even interest of many, Shelin continues.
“There is no problem of competition” any more. Worse, November 4th is on its way
to becoming like the second-tier holidays like the Day of the Flag.
What November 4th was
intended to be about was the coming together of the people and the elite as did
Minin and Pozharsky in order to stand up to foreign foes together, the Rosbalt
commentator says. But over the last few years, the people have come to realize
that the elites are not their allies and may even be their enemies, hardly the
basis for unity.
And in that situation, talking about
unity has the effect of highlighting how little unity there now is and perhaps
even exacerbating the situation by leading those who still feel something like
unity to ask themselves why they do when so many others have already reached a
negative conclusion.
That is all the more likely, Shelin
says, because “today’s princes Pozharsky aren’t ashamed of their wealth” and are
interested only in extracting more from the population so that their own wealth
will increase. That can’t be hidden now
as easily as it was during the “Crimea is ours” euphoria.
The naked truth of
the division is too obvious for all. “There is no unity” in Russia today,
Shelin concludes. Staging a holiday that suggests otherwise won’t produce it.
Instead, it will lead to more questions by more people of the kind the powers
that be in the Kremlin don’t want anyone to ask.
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