In fact, the Russian communist official says, there are unlikely to be active outburst of protest in Russia today despite growing dissatisfaction. “As practice shows, the situation in Russia can continue for a long time. But sooner or later, the inadequacy of the powers that be and the destruction of infrastructure will [lead to] a war between society and the ruling elite.”
The analogy Obukov draws between Putin and Andropov concerning why they both responded in the same way is important. Even more important, however, is that Andropov’s approach didn’t work but led instead first to Gorbachev with whom he played and then to the end of the Soviet Union he had worked his entire life to promote.
Without being explicit, the communist leader today is thus implicitly predicting much the same outcome for Putin and the Russian Federation not immediately but eventually, again as was the case with Andropov almost 40 years ago exactly the opposite one that a KGB officer could be expected to want.