Will Moscow Keep Its Pension Promises until 2036? Or Will Russia Even Exist at that Time?
February 14 – The SerpomPo telegram channel is extremely skeptical about Moscow’s
latest promise not to further raise the country’s pension age until at least
2036, not just because that date is no far in the future that no one can know
what such promises mean but also because by two decades from now, Russia itself
may not exist.
instead of focusing on that, SerpomPo suggests, Russians should be asking how
Russian will be able to cope with the challenges it clearly faces and whether
it will even exist in anything like its current form. The likely answers to
those questions, it says, are anything but reassuring.
first and obvious threat is Russia’s increasing lag between the world power
centers, China, the US, and Europe, in technology and wealth.” Despite its size
and natural resources, Russia isn’t doing well or setting itself up to do
better anytime soon, the telegram channel argues.
is obvious,” SerpomPo says, “that the Putin model of the organization of the
economy, the political system and society are incapable of doing anything” in
threat is “the colossal and growing social gap between the small group of
wealth people, as a rule connected with the state and the basic mass of poor
ones.”Because wealth and political
power are so intertwined in Russia, the channel says, “a social explosion will
lead to the destruction of the state itself.”
third threat is “the growing divide between Moscow and the rest of the country.”
These are now “two different countries, two different worlds, two poles,” one
of which enriches itself while the other descends ever more deeply into
fourth and most dangerous of all is the divide between the world the Kremlin portrays
in its speeches and via television and the world real people experience.Myths about “great victories” and “false
achievements” do not solve anything; instead, they make addressing real
problems more difficult even as those problems become more pressing.
are not making Russia great again, SerpomPo says; they are making the
probability of cataclysmic developments more likely.