Paul
Goble
Staunton, October 4 – The political behavior
of Russians from voting to taking part in protests is driven more by apathy,
the sense that nothing they do will matter, than by fear, the sense that doing
something the authorities don’t like will have adverse consequences for their
lives, according to a survey conducted by AKSIO sociologists.
Forty-seven percent of those queried
said that people do not participate in protests because they think protests are
useless compared to only about 30 percent who say that they fear that the
authorities in some way punish them, the survey says (rossaprimavera.ru/article/2c9ed06c
summarized at capost.media/special/obzory/apatiya_vseya_rusi/).
Russian men are
slightly more fearful than Russian women, 36 percent to 30 percent
respectively, and slightly less apathetic, 59 percent as compared to 63
percent. Perhaps because they have more
to lose, young people of both genders are more fearful (50 percent) while
pensioners are less so (20 percent).
What this suggests, although the
AKSIO analysts do not draw this conclusion, is that the current Russian regime
maintains itself less by instilling loyalty through fear than by depoliticizing the population,
thereby creating a situation that reduces challenges to the authorities but at
the same time makes it more difficult for those in power to mobilize people.
And that opens the way for opposition groups, despite their relatively small size to the total population, to organize demonstrations; but at the same time it suggests that they too will have more problems in expanding their reach, given that they will have problems overcoming apathy and do not have the ability to instill fear.
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